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2012 College Football Preview: BCS Bowl and Hypothetical Playoff Predictions

Hi guys! This is going to be one of my final 2012 College Football Preview posts. In this post I'll talk about how my projected records for the college football season (which you can find  here ) would fit with the current BCS bowl system, and the 4-team playoff system I outlined  here . Before I start, I'd like to mention that these are not the records I'm predicting with my own opinion, but rather they're the records my power ratings are predicting. My projected 2012 BCS bowls  With my projected records, there's a bit of controversy surrounding who plays in the National Championship. Utah, Georgia and Oklahoma are all undefeated major conference champions. Oklahoma did not play in a conference championship game, and they didn't beat a ranked team in a true road game. Georgia played the #72 schedule, easier than many mid-majors, and played only 3 teams with a winning conference record. Utah started off the season unranked, however they have 2 wins over top ...

2012 College Football Preview: 4-team playoff

Unless you've been living under a rock for the last 2 weeks, you know that a 4-team college football playoff has been approved for the 2014 season. There's been a lot of speculation about how this playoff is going to work, but let's go over the concrete facts first. 1) 6 bowls (yet to be named) will rotate hosting the semi-finals 2) The championship game will be played in the highest bidding city 3) A selection committee will choose the 4 teams to participate in the playoffs 4) The 6 "major" bowls are free to make tie-in contracts with conferences/independent teams 5) Any non-semi major-bowl will have it's remaining spots chosen by the committee 6) All 6 "major" bowl games will be played on either December 31st or January 1st And now, let's go over the selection procedures I am assuming for the purpose of this article: 1) The 6 "major" bowls will be the Rose, Sugar, Orange, Fiesta, Cotton and Chik-Fil-A (which I'll refer to ...

2012 College Football Preview: Records

A few days ago, I gave you guys my 2012 power ratings. Today, I'm going to present my projected win-loss record for each team. I'd have to say that the team that surprised me the most in simulating the season was Utah. The Utes are projected as undefeated Pac-12 champions in my power ratings. I don't necessarily agree with that, but they do have a lot of signs pointing upwards. They also have a number of close games (vs. USC and vs. Oregon). Without further ado, here are my 2012 projected records. SEC East Georgia 12-0 (8-0) (SEC champion) Tennessee 10-2 (6-2) South Carolina 8-4 (5-3) Missouri 8-4 (4-4) Florida 7-5 (4-4) Vanderbilt 8-4 (4-4) Kentucky 2-10 (0-8) West Arkansas 10-2 (6-2) (SEC West champion) LSU 10-2 (6-2) Texas A&M 9-3 (5-3) Alabama 8-4 (4-4) Mississippi State 7-5 (3-5) Auburn 4-8 (1-7) Mississippi 3-9 (0-8) Big 10 Leaders Ohio State 10-2 (6-2) Purdue 8-4 (5-3) (B10 Leaders champion, as OSU is ineligible) Wisconsin 8-4 (5-3) Illin...

2012 College Football Preview: Power Ratings

Here are my 2012 college football power ratings. These are just the ratings, I'll have posts with predictions and analysis to accompany these over the next few weeks. The ratings are not an indication of how good the team is, but rather how many wins I think they'll have (i.e. schedule plays a factor in these ratings) **Update Georgia's rating has been adjusted for the loss of Isaiah Crowell*** SEC 1. Georgia 230.95 2. Alabama 213.44 3. Missouri 206.08 4. Tennessee 205.14 5. LSU 204.84 6. Arkansas 204 7. South Carolina 200.89 8. Florida 196.12 9. Vanderbilt 191.74 10. Texas A&M 190.35 11. Auburn 174.93 12. Mississippi State 172.32 13. Mississippi 154.57 14. Kentucky 150.5 Big 10 1. Nebraska 204.86 2. Michigan 193.16 3. Ohio State 190.8 4. Purdue 182.58 5. Michigan State 181.61 6. Wisconsin 181.26 7. Iowa 172.04 8. Penn State 170.57 9. Illinois 169.15 10. Northwestern 153.04 11. Indiana 150.67 12. Minnesota 143.63 Big 12 1. Oklahoma 236.3...

Baseball Picks May 25-31

Here's another week of picks for you. April: 35-36 +0.91 units May: 41-52 -3.99 units 2012: 76-88 -3.08 units May 31: If I win both of these, I'll be positive in May. Dodgers +116 vs. Milwaukee -1 unit Houston +113 @ Colorado -1 unit May 30: Blegh. Trying to shake things up today, 1-2 and 2-1 days are annoying. Cardinals +110 @ Braves -1 unit White Sox +130 @ Rays +1.3 units Arizona +114 @ Giants +1.14 units May 29: Philly -108 @ Mets -1 unit Yankees +124 @ Angels -1 unit Reds -115 @ Pirates +0.87 units May 28: Dodgers +100 vs. Milwaukee -1 unit Cardinals +110 @ Braves +1.1 units Houston +110 @ Colorado (game 1) -1 unit May 27: Meh, I guess that's what happens when you pick 2 big underdogs. Houston +150 @ Dodgers -1 unit Pittsburgh -110 vs. Cubs +0.91 units Tampa +105 @ Red Sox +1.05 units May 26: After that game yesterday, and considering the fact they're only a game under .500 (which most people don't realize) you're probably going ...

Baseball Picks May 18-24

April: 35-36 +0.91 units May: 32-41 -3.08 units 2012: 67-77 -2.17 units May 24: Only 1 game I like on the short sked today. Minnesota +145 @ White Sox -1 unit May 23: I needed that. I really like the Nationals today. Giants +119 @ Brewers -1 unit Washington +150 @ Phillies -1 unit Dodgers -105 @ Arizona -1 unit Cleveland +110 vs. Detroit +1.1 units May 22: Bad day yesterday :/ I've got a boatload of picks today. I'm not sure I can recover if I drop 5 or 6 of these. Nats +145 @ Phillies +1.45 units Miami -127 vs. Colorado +0.79 units Houston -118 vs. Cubs +0.87 units Giants +103 @ Brewers +1.03 units Detroit +103 @ Cleveland -1 unit Kansas City +166 @ Yankees -1 unit May 21: Mets -102 @ Pirates -1 unit Baltimore +101 vs. Boston -1 unit Atlanta +108 @ Cincy -1 unit May 20: Perfect weather for camping. I'm quite exhausted, but here are my picks. Cardinals -115 @ Dodgers -1 unit Baltimore +143 @ Washington -1 unit Reds +170 @ Yankees +1.7 units Ma...

MLB Power Rankings: Week 6

Here we go again! Most teams are almost a quarter of the way through the season, so it's a good time to re-evaluate. All stats and such are through Wednesday May 16th. No commentary for teams 16-30 this week. 1: Rangers It tells you how good a team is when they get swept by the Royals and remain number 1. The +77 run differential is otherworldly. Oh, and Yu Darvish has taken CJ Wilson's spot in the rotation reasonably well. Just reasonably. 2: Cardinals I'd like to point out here that the Cardinals' run differential is more than double that of the next team, Atlanta. In that respect, the Cardinals and Rangers are in a class of their own. 3: Dodgers Yes, this team can play baseball without Matt Kemp. Especially at home (where they're 16-4 so far this year). 4: Rays Matt Moore will come around, hopefully (considering he's on my fantasy team). The ex-Devil Rays are actually have a sub-.500 road mark. 5: Orioles Oh, I'm trying not to rank them any high...