Sunday, January 14, 2018

Bracketology 1/15/18

Most of my update are just tweaks on the previous day's bracket, but today I re-did the whole thing top to bottom. This leads to a lot of changes throughout- major beneficiaries include Seton Hall, Rhode Island, Marquette and LSU while Michigan State, Florida State, Baylor and Maryland are among those hurt by it. The 2-line is all Big 12 teams right now, as those teams beat up on each other some will fall a bit while one or two will make a run at a 1 seed.

However, the biggest headline has to be the presence of 10 SEC teams in the bracket. While the Big 12 is the best conference in the country, the SEC scheduled well in the non-conference and the middle of the conference is exceptionally strong.

I'm going to update more often from here on out- probably 5 days a week or so. Expect daily updates beginning in February.

1: Villanova, Virginia, Duke, Purdue
2: Oklahoma, West Virginia, Kansas, Texas Tech
3: Seton Hall, Auburn, Clemson, Xavier
4: North Carolina, Wichita State, Arizona State, Arizona
5: Michigan State, Cincinnati, TCU, Tennessee
6: Kentucky, Miami (FL), Creighton, Rhode Island
7: Ohio State, Gonzaga, Florida, Michigan
8: Butler, Texas, Arkansas, Nevada
9: Texas A&M, Missouri, Louisville, Florida State
10: Alabama, St. Mary's, Boise State, Notre Dame
11: Marquette, LSU, (Georgia/Houston), (UCLA/Providence)
12: Western Kentucky, New Mexico State, Missouri State, East Tennessee State
13: Murray State, Northern Kentucky, Louisiana, Vermont
14: South Dakota State, Montana, Buffalo, Towson
15: Bucknell, Princeton, Iona, Stephen F. Austin
16: Florida Gulf Coast, UC Davis, (Radford/Robert Morris), (Texas Southern/Hampton)

First Four Out: Syracuse, USC, North Carolina State, Baylor
Next Four Out: Western Kentucky, St. Bonaventure, Washington, Oklahoma State
Also Considered: Middle Tennessee, Virginia Tech, SMU, San Diego State, South Carolina, Colorado, Utah, Maryland, BYU, Mississippi State, Kansas State, New Mexico State, Minnesota, UCF, Missouri State, Oregon, Penn State, St. John's

Moving In: Marquette, Providence, LSU, Georgia, Western Kentucky, Towson, Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, UC Davis, Radford, Robert Morris
Moving Out: Maryland, Kansas State, Syracuse, Baylor, Middle Tennessee, Northeastern, Penn, Lipscomb, UC Santa Barbara, UNC Asheville, St. Francis (PA)

SEC: 10
ACC: 8
Big East: 7
Big 12: 6
Big Ten: 4
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 2
West Coast: 2

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Bracketology 1/11/18

The most surprising result since my last update is Ohio State's drubbing of Michigan State in Columbus. That drops the Spartans down to a 2, and moves Ohio State safely into the field. Villanova demolished Xavier to cement their place as a 1. Last night, TCU fell to Texas- TCU remains a 5 seed despite now being 1-3 in the Big 12.

Speaking of the Big 12, one number I like to keep my eye on is conference record. No team with a conference record of 7-11 or worse has ever made the tournament- although the Big 12 is so deep this year that I could see say, Baylor or Texas making it this year at 7-11 in the conference.

1: Villanova, West Virginia, Virginia, Duke
2: Oklahoma, Michigan State, Purdue, Kansas
3: Arizona, Texas Tech, North Carolina, Arizona State
4: Auburn, Cincinnati, Kentucky, Wichita State
5: TCU, Creighton, Xavier, Seton Hall
6: Gonzaga, Florida, Miami (FL), Clemson
7: Tennessee, Texas, Arkansas, Texas A&M
8: Florida State, Michigan, Butler, Rhode Island
9: Ohio State, Notre Dame, Missouri, St. Mary's
10: Nevada, UCLA, Boise State, Alabama
11: Baylor, Louisville, (Houston/Syracuse), (Maryland/Kansas State)
12: Middle Tennessee, Vermont, Northern Kentucky, New Mexico State
13: Missouri State, East Tennessee State, Murray State, South Dakota State
14: Louisiana, Montana, Bucknell, Northeastern
15: Buffalo, UC Santa Barbara, Lipscomb, Iona
16: Stephen F. Austin, Penn, (UNC Asheville/St. Francis (PA)), (Texas Southern/Hampton)

First Four Out: SMU, St. Bonaventure, Virginia Tech, Marquette
Next Four Out: Washington, Utah, Temple, Providence
Also Considered: Middle Tennessee, USC, LSU, UCF, Georgia, San Diego State, Mississippi State, Minnesota, Oregon, St. John's, Penn State, BYU, Vermont, Northwestern, Old Dominion, Northern Kentucky, Boston College, New Mexico State, Oklahoma State, Western Kentucky, South Carolina

Moving In: Ohio State, Louisville, Kansas State
Moving Out: Utah, St. Bonaventure, SMU

Sunday, January 7, 2018

Bracketology 1/7/18

4 of the top 8 teams in my last seed list (Duke, Oklahoma, Arizona and Xavier) lost yesterday, leading to a lot of upheaval at the top of the seed list. This is reflected in two new 1 seeds (West Virginia and Virginia) and two new 2 seeds (Kansas and Purdue). Auburn joins the ranks of the protected seeds with a big win over Arkansas and is now projected to win the SEC. However, other SEC teams like Tennessee and Alabama are sliding. It was also a bad day for mid-major at-large bids: Boise State lost at Wyoming and St. Bonaventure lost at St. Joseph's.

1: Michigan State, Villanova, West Virginia, Virginia
2: Duke, Kansas, Oklahoma, Purdue
3: Texas Tech, Arizona, Seton Hall, Xavier
4: TCU, North Carolina, Auburn, Arizona State
5: Wichita State, Cincinnati, Kentucky, Arkansas
6: Creighton, Florida State, Florida, Gonzaga
7: Clemson, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Missouri
8: Notre Dame, Michigan, Butler, Miami (FL)
9: SMU, Rhode Island, Texas, St. Mary's
10: Nevada, UCLA, Baylor, Alabama
11: Houston, Boise State, (Syracuse/Utah), (Maryland/St. Bonaventure)
12: Middle Tennessee, Missouri State, Vermont, Northern Kentucky
13: New Mexico State, East Tennessee State, Murray State, South Dakota State
14: Louisiana-Lafayette, Montana, Bucknell, Northeastern
15: Buffalo, UC Santa Barbara, Lipscomb, Iona
16: Stephen F. Austin, Penn, (UNC Asheville/St. Francis (PA)), (Texas Southern/Hampton)

First Four Out: Ohio State, Washington, Providence, Kansas State
Next Four Out: Louisvillle, Virginia Tech, Middle Tennessee, USC
Also Considered: UCF, Georgia, St. John's, Minnesota, Marquette, Penn State, Mississippi State, Temple, San Diego State, Missouri State, Oregon, BYU, Vermont, Oklahoma State, Old Dominion, Boston College, Northern Kentucky, New Mexico State, Western Kentucky, South Carolina, Northwestern

Moving In: Northeastern, Penn
Moving Out: Charleston, Princeton

Thursday, January 4, 2018

Bracketology 1/4/18

Lots of changes in the first seed list of 2018. Oklahoma moves up to the 1-line, but I doubt they stay there. The Big 12 is so deep that every team in the league will probably pick up at least 4 or 5 losses in the conference, hindering any one team's chance at a 1. Elsewhere, lots of teams close to the cut-line got important wins, Butler beat Villanova, St. Mary's beat BYU, and Utah swept the Oregon trip, among others.

It is continuing to look like a weak year for mid-major at-large teams. If you define mid-majors as teams outside the 7 biggest conferences and Gonzaga, there's only 2 mid-major at-large teams in the field. Part of this is certainly due to the successful mid-majors moving up over recent years (Butler, Xavier, Creighton, Wichita State etc.) but this year is missing the successful Murray States and Southern Illinois of years past.

1: Duke, Michigan State, Villanova, Oklahoma
2: West Virginia, Virginia, Xavier, Arizona State
3: Arizona, Purdue, Kansas, Texas Tech
4: TCU, North Carolina, Arkansas, Seton Hall
5: Kentucky, Wichita State, Texas A&M, Cincinnati
6: Auburn, Missouri, Florida State, SMU
7: Creighton, Gonzaga, Florida, Tennessee
8: Butler, Michigan, Clemson, Miami (FL)
9: Texas, Alabama, Rhode Island, Notre Dame
10: Boise State, UCLA, St. Mary's, Nevada
11: Syracuse, Houston, (Utah/Maryland), (Baylor/Minnesota)
12: Middle Tennessee, Missouri State, New Mexico State, Vermont
13: Northern Kentucky, East Tennessee State, Murray State, South Dakota State
14: Louisiana-Lafayette, Charleston, Montana, Bucknell
15: UC Santa Barbara, Buffalo, Princeton, Lipscomb
16: Iona, Stephen F. Austin, (UNC Asheville/St. Francis (PA)), (Texas Southern/Hampton)

First Four Out: Louisville, St. John's, Kansas State, Virginia Tech
Next Four Out: Middle Tennessee, Ohio State, St. Bonaventure, USC
Also Considered: UCF, Marquette, Mississippi State, Temple, Providence, Oregon, BYU, San Diego State, Georgia, Penn State, Vermont, Old Dominion, Missouri State, New Mexico State, Washington, Oklahoma State, UNLV, South Carolina, Boston College

Moving In: Houston, St. Mary's, Utah, Missouri State, South Dakota State, Charleston, Buffalo, Montana, Liberty
Moving Out: Virginia Tech, St. John's, Louisville, Northern Iowa, South Dakota, Towson, Ball State, Idaho, UNC Asheville

Friday, December 29, 2017

Bracketology 12/29/17

A number of changes throughout the bracket in this update. First is the Pac-12, as Arizona State is now on the 1 line, although I don't expect them to stay there. UCLA moves into the field, giving the Pac-12 a 3rd team in, although USC and Utah are close. Both mid-majors and the Big Ten are having a weak year as well, and the conference that's capitalizing on these extra bids the most is the SEC. They have 8 teams in, including 6 on the top 7 lines. Expect the next update shortly after New Year's.

1: Villanova, Duke, Michigan State, Arizona State
2: Texas A&M, West Virginia, Virginia, Kansas
3: Purdue, North Carolina, TCU, Xavier
4: Oklahoma, Wichita State, Seton Hall, Tennessee
5: Arizona, Cincinnati, Miami (FL), Arkansas
6: Kentucky, Texas Tech, Auburn, SMU
7: Gonzaga, Missouri, Florida State, Creighton
8: Michigan, Rhode Island, Clemson, Texas
9: St. John's, Alabama, Baylor, Notre Dame
10: Florida, Butler, Boise State, Nevada
11: Virginia Tech, Louisville, (USC/Minnesota), (Syracuse/Maryland)
12: Middle Tennessee, Northern Iowa, New MexicoState, UT-Arlington
13: Vermont, Northern Kentucky, South Dakota, East Tennessee State
14: Bucknell, Murray State, Towson Ball State
15: Princeton, Iona, Stephen F. Austin, Lipscomb
16: UC Santa Barbara, Idaho, (UNC Asheville/ St. Francis (PA)), (Texas Southern/Hampton)

First Four Out: Houston, St. Mary's, USC, Utah
Next Four Out: St. Bonaventure, Florida State, Providence, Middle Tennessee


Moving In: Princeton, East Tennessee State, UNC Asheville, UCLA
Moving Out: Penn, UNC Greensboro, Liberty, Temple

Wednesday, December 20, 2017

Bracketology 12/20/17

Traditionally I put out my first bracket of the season on New Year's Eve, but I decided to do it a little earlier this year because I've been able to watch more college hoops than normal so far this season. At this point in the season, a lot of this is guesswork- the RPI is still pretty erratic, so I'm putting more weight into things like Kenpom and Sagarin than I do later in the season.

I've spent a lot of the time in the last month working with a few classmates on a bracketology model. We're just gathering our final results now- my plan is to make a post on here some time in January about the model.

1: Villanova, Duke, Michigan State, North Carolina
2: Arizona State, Texas A&M, West Virginia, Virginia
3: Purdue, Kansas, TCU, Wichita State
4: Oklahoma, Xavier, Kentucky, Miami (FL)
5: Cincinnati, Arizona, Tennessee, Gonzaga
6: Missouri, Seton Hall, Arkansas, Texas Tech
7: Creighton, St. John's, Texas Tech, Auburn
8: Alabama, Florida State, SMU, Michigan
9: Rhode Island, Clemson, Nevada, Baylor
10: Notre Dame, Temple, Syracuse, Florida
11: Boise State, Butler, (Louisville/Texas), (Virginia Tech/Minnesota)
12: Northern Iowa, Middle Tennessee, UT-Arlington, Vermont
13: Northern Kentucky, New Mexico State, South Dakota, Towson
14: UNC Greensboro, Bucknell, Idaho, Murray State
15: Ball State, Penn, Lipscomb, Iona
16: UC Santa Barbara, Stephen F. Austin, (Liberty/St. Francis (PA)), (Texas Southern/Morgan State)

Last Four In: Louisville, Texas, Virginia Tech, Minnesota

First Four Out: Maryland, Northern Iowa, Penn State, St. Mary's

Next Four Out: Ohio State, Middle Tennessee, Utah, UCF

Also Considered: Providence, Kansas State, BYU, Houston, UCLA, Oregon, St. Bonaventure, USC, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Washington, Old Dominion, Oklahoma State, Northwestern, Iowa State, San Diego State, Marquette, Georgia, Towson, UNLV, UT-Arlington, Georgia Southern, Boston College, Vermont, Fresno State, Colorado

Sunday, March 12, 2017

Bracketology 3/12/17 Evening

This is my final bracketology for 2017. I moved some teams around today- Michigan moved up to a 6 with their win over Wisconsin, among others. I am pretty confident with the at-large selections I've made, but the committee could throw a total curveball like they did last year with Tulsa.



1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Duke
2: Kentucky, Gonzaga, Arizona, Louisville
3: Florida State, Baylor, Oregon, Florida
4: UCLA, Butler, Notre Dame, West Virginia
5: Virginia, Purdue, Iowa State, SMU
6: Minnesota, Cincinnati, Wisconsin, Michigan
7: Creighton, St. Mary's, Maryland, Arkansas
8: Dayton, Miami (FL), Virginia Tech, VCU
9: Wichita State, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, Oklahoma State
10: Seton Hall, Michigan State, Northwestern, Xavier
11: Marquette, Rhode Island, Wake Forest, Providence, Kansas State, USC
12: Middle Tennessee, Nevada, UNC Wilmington, Vermont
13: Princeton, East Tennessee State, New Mexico State, Bucknell
14: Winthrop, Florida Gulf Coast, Iona, Northern Kentucky
15: Texas Southern, Kent State, North Dakota, Troy
16: Jacksonville State, North Carolina Central, UC Davis, New Orleans, Mount St. Mary's, South Dakota State

Outside Looking In: Syracuse, Illinois State, Illinois, California, Georgia, Clemson

Bracketology 3/12/17 Morning

This is only my morning update- I'll have another final update after all of the championship games are done today.

I ran my model this morning and it produced some interesting results, such as Duke on the 1-line. Also, Rhode Island is in for Illinois State. I might swap in Syracuse for Rhode Island if the Rams lose to VCU today.

1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Duke
2: Kentucky, Gonzaga, Arizona, Louisville
3: Florida State, Oregon, Baylor, UCLA
4: Florida, Butler, Notre Dame, West Virginia
5: Virginia, Purdue, Iowa State, Cincinnati
6: Minnesota, SMU, Wisconsin, Creighton
7: St. Mary's, Michigan, Maryland, Dayton
8: Arkansas, Miami (FL), Virginia Tech, Wichita State
9: South Carolina, VCU, Vanderbilt, Oklahoma State
10: Seton Hall, Xavier, Michigan State, Northwestern
11: Marquette, Wake Forest, (Providence/USC), (Kansas State/Rhode Island)
12: Middle Tennessee, Nevada, UNC Wilmington, Vermont
13: Princeton, East Tennessee State, New Mexico State, Bucknell
14: Winthrop, Florida Gulf Coast, Iona, Northern Kentucky
15: Texas Southern, Kent State, North Dakota State, Texas State
16: Jacksonville State, North Carolina Central, (New Orleans/Mount St. Mary's), (South Dakota State/UC Davis)

First Four Out: Syracuse, Illinois State, Illinois, California, Georgia, Clemson
 
Moving In: Rhode Island, Texas State, Kent State, UC Davis, New Mexico State
Moving Out: Illinois State, UT-Arlington, Akron, UC Irvine, Cal State Bakersfield
Removed From Consideration: None

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 9
Big Ten: 7
Big East: 7
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 3
American: 2
West Coast: 2

Friday, March 10, 2017

Bracketology 3/11/17

Fringe bubble teams dropped like flies today as Georgia, Indiana, TCU, California and Houston all lost must-win games and I think all five are totally out of consideration for an at-large. In my mind, the bubble is really down to just 6 teams- Kansas State, Middle Tennessee, USC, Illinois State, Rhode Island and Syracuse. Right now, there's 4 spots for those 6 teams but that could shrink in the case of bid stealers, and there's plenty of potential bid thieves still alive.

I'm pretty shaky on some areas of my seed list- the 3 and 4 lines are one area, as are the 9 and 10 lines. I'm going to run my model tomorrow afternoon to help sort that out.
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1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Kentucky
2: Gonzaga, Oregon, Louisville, Florida State
3: Duke, Arizona, Baylor, UCLA
4: Notre Dame, West Virginia, Virginia, Florida
5: Purdue, Butler, Cincinnati, Iowa State
6: Creighton, Minnesota, SMU, St. Mary's
7: Wisconsin, Michigan, Miami (FL), Maryland
8: Arkansas, Virginia Tech, Dayton, Wichita State
9: VCU, Northwestern, South Carolina, Oklahoma State
10: Xavier, Michigan State, Vanderbilt, Seton Hall
11: Marquette, Wake Forest, (Providence/Kansas State), Middle Tennessee
12: (USC/Illinois State), UNC Wilmington, Nevada, UT-Arlington
13: Vermont, Princeton, East Tennessee State, Bucknell
14: Akron, Winthrop, Florida Gulf Coast, Cal State Bakersfield
15: Northern Kentucky, Iona, South Dakota State, Texas Southern
16: UC Irvine, North Dakota, (Jacksonville State/North Carolina Central), (New Orleans/Mount St. Mary's)

First Four Out: Rhode Island, Syracuse, Iowa, Illinois

Moving In: None
Moving Out: None
Removed From Consideration: Georgia, Indiana, TCU, California, Houston

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 9
Big Ten: 7
Big East: 7
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

Thursday, March 9, 2017

Bracketology 3/10/17

I'm moving Iowa out of the field after their loss to Indiana, and I considered denoting them as a long shot as well. Teams with RPIs in the high 70s don't get simply don't get bids, and Iowa doesn't have the wins Syracuse does to counteract the unwieldy RPI. USC also hurt themselves today- I think they're probably still in but my guess is they'll be in a First Four game.

Today's bubble winners include Michigan State and Northwestern, who took care of business in the Big Ten Tournament and earned locks for it, as well as California and Indiana who got necessary wins. However, both teams still need at least one more win to have a serious shot.

However, the biggest bubble winners of the day were in the Big 12 where Kansas State vaulted into the field with a win over Baylor, and TCU dealt a blow to Kansas' #1 overall seed hopes as well. I think Kansas State is probably in even if they lose to West Virginia, although it's not a sure thing. TCU definitely needs at least one more win, possibly two, to counteract their 6-12 conference record, 14 losses, and RPI of 64.

1: Villanova, North Carolina, Kansas, Kentucky
2: Gonzaga, Florida State, Oregon, Louisville
3: Baylor, UCLA, Duke, Florida
4: Arizona, Purdue, West Virginia, Notre Dame
5: West Virginia, Butler, Cincinnati, Iowa State
6: Minnesota, SMU, Maryland, Creighton
7: St. Mary's, Dayton, Wisconsin, Miami (FL)
8: South Carolina, Virginia Tech, Arkansas, Michigan
9: Wichita State, VCU, Xavier, Seton Hall
10: Michigan State, Oklahoma State, Northwestern, Marquette
11: Wake Forest, Providence, (Kansas State/Vanderbilt), Middle Tennessee
12: (USC/Illinois State), UNC Wilmington, Nevada, UT-Arlington
13: Vermont, Princeton, East Tennessee State, Bucknell
14: Akron, Winthrop, Florida Gulf Coast, Cal State Bakersfield
15: Northern Kentucky, Iona, South Dakota State, Texas Southern
16: UC Irvine, North Dakota, (Jacksonville State/North Carolina Central), (New Orleans/Mount St. Mary's)

First Four Out: Syracuse, Rhode Island, Iowa, Houston
Also Considered: Illinois, TCU, Indiana, California, Georgia

Moving In: Kansas State
Moving Out: Iowa
Removed From Consideration: None

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 9
Big Ten: 7
Big East: 7
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

Bracketology 3/9/17

I'm making a decision that I think most bracketologists will disagree with by dropping Syracuse out of the field. Their RPI is 84 and the worst RPI to get an at-large bid is 68. If other bubble teams lose, there's enough other good stuff on their resume that they still have a shot, but I think it's dependent on other bubble teams losing.

I think Wake Forest is in, and I'd be pretty surprised if they didn't make it. Power conference teams with top-40 RPIs don't miss the tournament and their win over Louisville is as good as any other bubble team win.

Lots more bubble teams in action today. Illinois and Kansas State, among others, face must wins.

1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Kentucky
2: Baylor, Gonzaga, Louisville, Florida State
3: Oregon, UCLA, Florida, Butler
4: Duke, Arizona, Virginia, Purdue
5: West Virginia, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Minnesota
6: SMU, Maryland, Iowa State, St. Mary's
7: Dayton, Creighton, Miami (FL), Wisconsin
8: Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Arkansas, Wichita State
9: Oklahoma State, Michigan, VCU, Marquette
10: Michigan State, Northwestern, Seton Hall, Providence
11: Xavier, Wake Forest, (USC/Vanderbilt), Middle Tennessee
12: (Illinois State/Iowa), UNC Wilmington, Nevada, UT-Arlington
13: Vermont, Princeton, East Tennessee State, Bucknell
14: Akron, Winthrop, Florida Gulf Coast, Cal State Bakersfield
15: Northern Kentucky, Iona, South Dakota State, Texas Southern
16: UC Irvine, North Dakota, (Jacksonville State/North Carolina Central), (New Orleans/Mount St. Mary's)

First Four Out: Syracuse, Rhode Island, Illinois, Kansas State
Also Considered: Houston, Georgia, California, Indiana

Moving In: Iowa
Moving Out: Syracuse
Removed From Consideration: Clemson, Ohio State

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 9
Big Ten: 8
Big East: 6
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

Bracketology 3/8/17

Most bubble teams begin their conference tournaments today, so the bubble will be more interesting today after a few nights of stagnation. Clemson, USC, Xavier and Ohio State face must wins.

Not much changed as a result of yesterday's games- Gonzaga moved up the 2-line and St. Mary's moved down the 6-line.

1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Kentucky
2: Baylor, Gonzaga, Louisville, Florida State
3: Oregon, UCLA, Florida, Butler
4: Duke, Arizona, Virginia, Purdue
5: West Virginia, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Minnesota
6: SMU, Maryland, Iowa State, St. Mary's
7: Dayton, Creighton, Wisconsin, South Carolina
8: Miami (FL), Arkansas, Virginia Tech, Wichita State
9: Oklahoma State, Michigan, VCU, Marquette
10: Michigan State, Northwestern, Seton Hall, Wake Forest
11: Providence, Xavier, (USC/Vanderbilt), (Syracuse/Illinois State)
12: Middle Tennessee, UNC Wilmington, Nevada, UT-Arlington
13: Vermont, Princeton, East Tennessee State, Bucknell
14: Akron, Winthrop, Florida Gulf Coast, Cal State Bakersfield
15: Northern Kentucky, Iona, South Dakota State, Texas Southern
16: UC Irvine, North Dakota, (Jacksonville State/North Carolina Central), (New Orleans/Mount St. Mary's)

First Four Out: Iowa, Rhode Island, Illinois, Kansas State
Also Considered: Houston, Clemson, Georgia, California, Indiana, Georgia Tech, Ohio State

Moving In: South Dakota State
Moving Out: Nebraska-Omaha
Removed From Consideration: Georgia Tech

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 10
Big Ten: 7
Big East: 6
Big 12: 6
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2