Posts

Bracketology 3/12/20

Well, in the unlikely event that there is an NCAA tournament, here's my projection for it. Stanford really hurt themselves with their loss to Cal, their SOR is almost unprecedentedly bad for an at-large team. Xavier made things really interesting with a loss to DePaul, they're my last team in. Also out west, Colorado continued a massive slide with a loss to Washington State.

1: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton
2: San Diego State, Villanova, Creighton, Florida State
3: Michigan State, Maryland, Duke, Seton Hall
4: Louisville, KentuckyOregon, Ohio State
5: Wisconsin, Butler, BYU, Auburn
6: West Virginia, Michigan, Iowa, Illinois
7: Penn State, Virginia, St. Mary's,  Houston
8: Oklahoma, Arizona, Rutgers, USC
9: Marquette, Colorado, LSU, Providence
10: Florida, Indiana, East Tennessee State, Texas Tech
11: Wichita State, Utah State, Arizona State, (Richmond/Cincinnati)
12: (Texas/Xavier), Stephen F. Austin, YaleLiberty
13: Akron, Vermont, Louisiana Tech, New Mexico State
1…

Bracketology 3/11/20

The last quiet bubble day of conference tournament week is done, with six more bids punched. Robert Morris moves into the field for St. Francis PA after their win in the NEC title game.

I was supposed to be heading to Madison Square Garden for the Big East tournament tomorrow and likely up to Cambridge for the Ivy League tournament this weekend. I've cancelled my trip to New York, and the Ivy League tournament has been cancelled with Yale given the conference's berth in March Madness with their regular season title.

1: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton
2: San Diego State, Villanova, Creighton, Florida State
3: Michigan State, Maryland, Duke, Seton Hall
4: Louisville, KentuckyOregon, Ohio State
5: Wisconsin, Butler, BYU, Auburn
6: West Virginia, Michigan, Iowa, Illinois
7: Penn State, Virginia, St. Mary's,  Houston
8: Colorado, Oklahoma, Arizona, Rutgers
9: USC, Marquette, LSU, Providence
10: Florida, East Tennessee State, Indiana, Texas Tech
11: Wichita State, Utah State, …

Bracketology 3/10/20

East Tennessee State punched their bid last night, I think the Buccaneers could've had a good shot at making the field as an at-large, but now they won't have to wait. I also moved some teams around on the 13 through 16 lines after taking a look at those resumes more in depth, Bradley moves up to a 14 seed in place of Hofstra.

1: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton
2: San Diego State, Villanova, Creighton, Florida State
3: Michigan State, Maryland, Duke, Seton Hall
4: Louisville, KentuckyOregon, Ohio State
5: Wisconsin, Butler, BYU, Auburn
6: West Virginia, Michigan, Iowa, Illinois
7: Penn State, St. Mary's, Virginia, Houston
8: Colorado, Oklahoma, Arizona, Rutgers
9: USC, Marquette, LSU, Providence
10: Florida, East Tennessee State, Indiana, Texas Tech
11: Wichita State, Utah State, Arizona State, (Xavier/Richmond)
12: (Stanford/Texas), Stephen F. Austin, Yale, Liberty
13: Akron, Vermont, Louisiana Tech, New Mexico State
14: BelmontNorthern Colorado, Colgate, Bradley
15: 

Bracketology 3/9/20

Three more bids were punched yesterday, as Liberty, Bradley and Winthrop locked up their spot in the NCAA tournament. My guess is that after more top seeds go down, Bradley will slide up to a 14 seed and Winthrop will move to a 15. Higher up in the field, Michigan State is knocking on the door of the 2 line after their win over Ohio State, and Illinois is up to the 6 line.

The biggest game of tomorrow night is the Southern Conference championship between Wofford and East Tennessee State. I feel decent that the Buccaneers would get an at-large even with a loss, their SOR and NET are pretty solid. Thus, a Wofford win would take another bid from the bubble.

1: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton
2: San Diego State, Villanova, Creighton, Florida State
3: Michigan State, Maryland, Duke, Seton Hall
4: Louisville, KentuckyOregon, BYU
5: Ohio State, Wisconsin, Butler, Auburn
6: West Virginia, Michigan, Illinois, Iowa
7: Penn State, Virginia, Houston, St. Mary's
8: Colorado, Oklahoma, Arizon…

Bracketology 3/8/20

A crazy day leads to massive changes throughout the seed list. At the top, I've moved Dayton to a #1 seed for the first time all year, replacing San Diego State after the Aztecs' loss to Utah State. That locked up a bid for the Aggies, who were probably out with a loss.

At the bubble, I've moved Stanford in, as well as Utah State. They're replacing Northern Iowa and Purdue, after the Boilers' loss to Rutgers. I feel decent about the bubble right now, anyone outside the first four out is going to need quite a conference tournament run to make the field.

1: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton
2: San Diego State, Villanova, Creighton, Florida State
3: Duke, Michigan State, Maryland, Seton Hall
4: Louisville, KentuckyOregon, Ohio State
5: BYU, Wisconsin, Butler, Auburn
6: Michigan, West Virginia, Iowa, Penn State
7: Virginia, Illinois, Houston, St. Mary's
8: Colorado, Oklahoma, Arizona, Rutgers
9: USC, Marquette, LSU, Providence
10: Florida, East Tennessee State, Ind…

Bracketology 3/7/20

The biggest game of the day on Friday was Northern Iowa's loss to Drake in the Arch Madness quarterfinals. I have kept the Panthers as the last team in the field for now, but it's going to be a long wait for them until Selection Sunday. Most of their resume comparisons haven't made the tournament, although their NET remains solid.

A massive day awaits today, with nearly every bubble team in action. Updates will be daily from now until Selection Sunday.

1: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, San Diego State
2: DaytonFlorida State, Maryland, Seton Hall
3: Villanova, Creighton, Duke, Michigan State
4: Louisville, KentuckyOregon, Ohio State
5: BYU, Butler, Penn State, Iowa
6: Wisconsin, Michigan, Auburn, Colorado
7: West Virginia, Houston, Illinois, Virginia
8: St. Mary's, Arizona, Marquette, Oklahoma
9: Texas Tech, Rutgers, USC, Florida
10: Xavier, LSU, East Tennessee State, Providence
11: Indiana, Wichita State, Texas, (Arizona State/Richmond)
12: (Purdue/Northern Iowa), Stephe…

Bracketology 3/6/20

For the first time in a while, we had a day with a lot of bubble teams losing on Thursday. Arizona State lost at home to Washington, Stanford lost at Oregon State and Wichita State lost at Memphis. I debated keeping Stanford in the field due to their high NET rating, but the pure wins and losses of their resume is a decent bit behind everyone else on the cutline. Arizona State is now in a bit of a tricky position and better beat Washington State on Saturday. LSU is also starting to make things interesting, as they're 3-6 in their last 9.

1: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, San Diego State
2: DaytonFlorida State, Maryland, Seton Hall
3: Villanova, Creighton, Duke, Michigan State
4: Louisville, KentuckyOregon, Ohio State
5: BYU, Butler, Penn State, Iowa
6: Wisconsin, Michigan, Auburn, Colorado
7: West Virginia, Houston, Illinois, Virginia
8: St. Mary's, Arizona, Marquette, Oklahoma
9: Texas Tech, Rutgers, USC, Florida
10: Xavier, LSU, East Tennessee State, Providence
11: Indiana, No…