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Bracketology 1/1/15

It's New Year's, which means it's time for bracketology to come back! This is updated through the games of December 31st. Some reminders:

1) Teams in bold are projected conference champions with auto-bids.

2) The seed list snakes, so the odd numbered lines are read left to right and the even lines are read right to left. This way you can read down for a region.

1: Kentucky, Duke, Virginia, Wisconsin
2: Arizona, Vilanova, Gonzaga, Kansas
3: Utah, VCU, Louisville, Wichita State 
4: Iowa State, West Virginia, Northern Iowa, Maryland
5: St. John's, Old Dominion, Seton Hall, Washington
6: LSU, North Carolina, San Diego State, Texas
7: Colorado State, Baylor, Dayton, Arkansas
8: George Washington, BYU, Georgia, Oklahoma
9: Notre Dame, Providence, Georgetown, Butler
10: Stanford, Xavier, Temple, Cincinnati
11: Iowa, UNLV, Ohio State, Georgia Tech
12: Harvard, Green Bay, (Indiana/TCU), (Penn State/SMU)
13: Stephen F. Austin, Buffalo, Georgia State, Iona
14: Eastern Washington,…

2014 96 Team Bracketology

There was discussion a couple of years back about expanding the tournament field to 96 teams. I decided to make a 96 team bracket for this year to see how it might wind up. I tried to stay as true to the real bracket as possible. The link to the bracket I created in Google Docs can be found here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjS9GJILd1GfdHFSVDExLTBMVFNjT0ZxU1VmLV8yaEE&usp=drive_web#gid=2

1: Florida, Arizona, Wichita State, Virginia
2: Kansas, Wisconsin, Michigan, Villanova
3: Syracuse, Creighton, Duke, Iowa State
4: UCLA, San Diego State, Louisville, Michigan State
5: VCU, Oklahoma, Saint Louis, Cincinnati
6: Ohio State, Baylor, Massachusetts, North Carolina
7: New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Connecticut
8: Colorado, Gonzaga, Kentucky, Memphis
9: Pittsburgh, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, George Washington
10: Stanford, BYU, Arizona State, St. Joseph's
11: Dayton, Nebraska, Tennessee, Providence
12: SMU, North Carolina State, Iowa, Xavier
13: Florida State, Californi…

Bracketology 3/16/14 Evening

Notes:

1) This bracket is FINAL. No more changes will be made.
2) Remember that the seed list snakes. I don't have time to make a bracket right now.
3) Not doing a live blog for the selection show.

1: FloridaWichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Virginia, Wisconsin, Kansas, Michigan
3: Iowa State, Louisville,Michigan State, Duke
4: San Diego State, Cincinnati, Syracuse, Creighton
5: Oklahoma, UCLA, Connecticut, North Carolina
6: Saint Louis, New Mexico, Ohio State, VCU
7: Baylor, Massachusetts, Texas, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Gonzaga, Kentucky, Oregon
9: Colorado, St. Joseph's, Memphis, Pittsburgh
10: Providence, Dayton, Iowa, Stanford
11: Kansas State, Arizona State, Nebraska, (BYU/Tennessee)
12: Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State, Harvard, (Xavier/SMU)
13: Tulsa, Manhattan, Delaware, Western Michigan
14: North Carolina Central, Eastern Kentucky, Mercer, New Mexico State
15: American, Louisiana-Lafayette, UW-Milwaukee, Wofford
16: (Weber State/Cal Poly), (Texa…

Bracketology 3/16/14 Morning

Notes:

1) This is my morning seed list, I'll post another one after all the conference championship games, which I'll label final. I'll try to put up a bracket as well as the seed list for both updates.
2) I'm feeling pretty good about the at-larges I've picked to be in. If any of the at-larges I have right now does not get in, my hunch would be that it's BYU, and that Cal is in for them.
3) Only things I might change not related to the games on Sunday is some seedings in the middle of the bracket. I haven't combed through the 6-10 area like I have the rest of the bracket.
4) I might do a live blog of the selection show on here. We'll see about that.
5) Remember that the seed list snakes, so you read the odd numbered lines left to right and the even numbered lines right to left. This means you can read down to find a region.

1: Florida, Wichita State,Arizona, Michigan
2: Duke, Wisconsin,Kansas, Villanova
3: Iowa State,Louisville, Creighton, Virginia
4: …

Bracketology 3/15/14

After about 5 PM I'll keep this running throughout the day.

1: Florida, Wichita State,Arizona, Villanova
2: Duke, Michigan, Kansas, Wisconsin
3: Creighton, Iowa State, Syracuse, Virginia
4: Michigan State, Cincinnati, LouisvilleSan Diego State
5: Connecticut, Oklahoma, Ohio State, North Carolina
6: Massachusetts, Saint Louis, Baylor, VCU
7: Texas, UCLA, George Washington, Kentucky
8: Oklahoma State, GonzagaOregon, New Mexico
9: Iowa, Colorado, Memphis, Pittsburgh
10: Kansas State, Dayton, St. Joseph's, Stanford
11: Arizona State, Nebraska, Xavier, (BYU/Tennessee)
12: Toledo, Louisiana Tech, Harvard, (Providence/SMU)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Manhattan, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Mercer, New Mexico State, Georgia State
15: North Carolina Central, American, UW-Milwaukee, Stony Brook
16: (Weber State/Cal State Northridge), (Texas Southern/Mount St. Mary's), Coastal Carolina, Wofford

Should be In: Xavier, SMU
Bubble In: Tennessee, Providence, BYU
Bubble Out…

Bracketology 3/14/14

Last Update: 11:45 PM
Only games not included that may influence the seed list are Xavier/Creighton, Boise State/New Mexico, CSU-Bakersfield/New Mexico State, Stanford/UCLA and Cal State Northridge/Long Beach State. Full update will be (probably) posted in the morning.

1: Florida, Wichita State,Arizona, Villanova
2: Duke, Michigan, Kansas, Wisconsin
3: Creighton, Iowa State, Syracuse, Virginia
4: Michigan State, Cincinnati, LouisvilleSan Diego State
5: Connecticut, Oklahoma, Ohio State, North Carolina
6: Texas, Massachusetts, Saint Louis, Baylor, VCU
7: George Washington, UCLA, Kentucky
8: Oklahoma State, GonzagaOregon, New Mexico
9: Iowa, Colorado, Memphis, Stanford
10: Kansas State, Dayton, St. Joseph's, Pittsburgh
11: Arizona State, Nebraska, Xavier, (BYU/Tennessee)
12: Toledo, Louisiana Tech, Harvard, (Providence/SMU)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Manhattan, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Mercer, New Mexico State, Georgia State
15: North Carolina Central, American…

Bracketology 3/12/14

Notes 1) BYU is right on the cut line after their loss to Gonzaga. I'm keeping them in for now, but they'll be sweating it out on Sunday. 2) Remember that the seed list snakes, so odd lines are read left to right and even lines right to left. Locks 1: Florida, Wichita State,Arizona, Villanova
2: Syracuse, Wisconsin, Michigan,Kansas
3: Creighton, Duke, Virginia, Iowa State
4: Louisville, San Diego State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati
5: Michigan State, North Carolina, Saint Louis, Ohio State
6: VCU, Connecticut, Texas, Massachusetts
7: Kentucky, Oregon, Baylor, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Memphis, New Mexico, UCLA
9: GonzagaColorado, Iowa, Kansas State
10L: Arizona State, Dayton

Should be in 10S: St. Joseph's, Nebraska
11S: Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh

Bubble/Auto-Bid Only 11B: (BYU/Arkansas)
12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (California/Xavier)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Manhattan, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Boston University, Mercer, Georgia State
15: UC…

Bracketology 3/11/14

Notes 1) Only changes in the seed list are among the auto-bids. There's probably going to be a couple changes tonight, with lots of movement later in the week. Shooting for daily updates now.
2) Remember that the seed list snakes.

Locks 1: Florida, Wichita State,Arizona, Villanova
2: Syracuse, Wisconsin, Michigan,Kansas
3: Creighton, Duke, Virginia, Iowa State
4: Louisville, San Diego State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati
5: Michigan State, North Carolina, Saint Louis, Ohio State
6: VCU, Connecticut, Texas, Massachusetts
7: Kentucky, Oregon, Baylor, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Memphis, New Mexico, UCLA
9: Colorado, Iowa, Kansas State, Gonzaga 
10L: Arizona State, Dayton

Should be in 10S: St. Joseph's, Nebraska
11S: Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh

Bubble/Auto-Bid Only 11B: (BYU/Arkansas)
12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (California/Xavier)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Manhattan, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Boston University, Mercer, Georgia State
15: UC-Irvine, North …

Bracketology 3/10/14

Notes:
1) Re-configured the seedings of some teams for this update. You'll notice some significant changes, especially on the 7-12 lines.
2) I've added the following categories to the seed list: Lock, Should Be In, Bubble and Auto-Bid Only.
Lock means that the team is going to the tournament irregardless.
Should Be In means that it would take a bad loss in the conference tournament to put a team in jeopardy. Bubble means that a team could go either way, in or out, relatively easily.
Auto-bid Only means that a team must win their conference tournament to get in.
3) I'm going to start chopping the "Next Five Out" list down over the week as the amount of teams with a chance to make the tournament decreases. Any team not listed there is going to need an auto bid.
4) The placement of Southern Miss on the "First Four Out" list indicates where they would be as of now without an autobid. They're probably only getting in with an autobid despite their inclusi…

Bracketology 3/9/14

1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova
2: Michigan, Kansas, Virginia, Wisconsin
3: Syracuse, Duke, Creighton, Cincinnati
4: Louisville, Michigan State, San Diego State, Iowa State
5: Massachusetts, Saint Louis, North Carolina, Oklahoma
6: Connecticut, Ohio State, VCU, Kentucky,
7: Texas, George Washington, New Mexico, Oregon
8: Kansas State, Memphis, UCLA, Baylor
9: Gonzaga, Colorado, SMU, Iowa
10: Dayton, Oklahoma State, Stanford, Arizona State
11: St. Joseph's, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, (Xavier/Arkansas)
12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (BYU/Tennessee)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona, Mercer
14: UC-Irvine, Vermont, Georgia State, Delaware
15: Boston University, North Carolina Central, Davidson, Eastern Kentucky
16: (Alabama State/Utah Valley), (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), Robert Morris, Wright State

Last Four Byes: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota
Last Four In: Tennessee, Arkansas, BYU, Xavier
First Four Out: California, Georgetown, Nebraska, Mi…

Bracketology 3/8/14

1: Arizona, Florida, Wichita State, Villanova
2: Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas
3: Syracuse, Creighton, Duke, Cincinnati
4: North Carolina, Massachusetts, Iowa State, Michigan State
5: Texas, San Diego State, Louisville, Saint Louis
6: Connecticut, UCLA, Kentucky, Oklahoma
7: VCU, Ohio State, New Mexico, George Washington
8: Kansas State, Arizona State, Baylor, Colorado
9: Iowa, Oklahoma State, Oregon, Memphis
10: Dayton, Stanford, SMU, Gonzaga
11: St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota, (Xavier/Pittsburgh)
12: UW-Green Bay, Toledo, Southern Miss, (BYU/Georgetown)
13: Harvard,North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona
14: Georgia State, Delaware, Mercer, Belmont
15: 
Vermont, UC-Irvine, Boston University, North Carolina Central
16: (Alabama State/Utah Valley), (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), Robert Morris, Davidson

Last Four Byes: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota
Last Four In:  Pittsburgh, BYU, Georgetown, Xavier
First Four Out: Tennessee, Nebraska, Providence, Californi…

Bracketology 3/6/14

1: Arizona, Florida, Wichita State, Villanova
2: Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas
3: Syracuse, Creighton, Cincinnati, Duke
4: North Carolina, Michigan State, Massachusetts, Iowa State
5: Texas, San Diego State, Louisville, Saint Louis
6: Connecticut, UCLA, Kentucky, Oklahoma
7: Ohio State, VCU, New Mexico, George Washington
8: Arizona State, Baylor, Iowa, Colorado
9: Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oregon, Memphis
10: Dayton, Stanford, SMU, Gonzaga
11: St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, (Xavier/Pittsburgh)
12: UW-Green Bay, Toledo, Southern Miss, (BYU/Georgetown)
13: Harvard, North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona
14: Georgia State, Delaware, Mercer, Belmont
15: 
Vermont, UC-Irvine, Boston University, North Carolina Central
16: (Alabama State/Utah Valley), (Weber State/High Point), Robert Morris, Davidson

Last Four Byes: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Arkansas, Minnesota
Last Four In:  Pittsburgh, Xavier, BYU, Georgetown
First Four Out: Tennessee, Nebraska, Providence, Ca…

Bracketology 3/4/14

1: Arizona, Florida, Wichita State, Villanova
2: Michigan, Wisconsin, Syracuse, Kansas
3: Creighton,VirginiaIowa State, Duke
4: Saint Louis, Massachusetts, Kentucky, Cincinnati
5: Texas, Michigan State, North Carolina, San Diego State
6: Connecticut, UCLA, Louisville, Oklahoma
7: Ohio State, VCU, New Mexico, Arizona State
8: Kansas State, Iowa, George Washington, Colorado
9: Baylor, Oklahoma State, St. Joseph's, Memphis
10: Oregon, SMU, Gonzaga, Stanford
11: Arkansas, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, (Tennessee/Dayton)
12: UW-Green Bay, Toledo, Southern Miss, (BYU/California)
13: Harvard, North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona
14: Georgia State, Delaware, Mercer, Belmont
15: 
Vermont, UC-Irvine, Boston University, North Carolina Central
16: (Alabama State/Utah Valley), (Weber State/High Point), Robert Morris, Davidson

Last Four Byes: Oregon, Arkansas, Minnesota, Pittsburgh
Last Four In: California, Dayton, BYU, Tennessee
First Four Out: Missouri, Xavier, Providence, Florida State
Next Four…

Bracketology 3/1/14

Notes:
1) Most movement in this update is around the bubble: Providence takes over Richmond's spot in the bracket. Lots of movement on the 7-11 lines, as Oregon shoots up and Memphis drops.
2) I'll try to post an update tomorrow considering how much movement there will be after today.
3) Remember that the seed list snakes, so the odd lines read left to right and the even lines read right to left.

1: Florida, Arizona,Wichita State, Syracuse 
2: VillanovaCreightonWisconsin, Kansas
3: Michigan, Duke, Iowa State, Cincinnati
4: Louisville, Massachusetts, Michigan State, Virginia
5: Saint LouisSan Diego State, UCLA, North Carolina
6: Oklahoma, Kentucky, New Mexico, Texas
7: Ohio State, Connecticut, Colorado, George Washington
8: Stanford, Pittsburgh, VCU, Iowa
9: Arizona State, Memphis, SMU, Gonzaga
10: St. Joseph's, Oregon, Baylor, Kansas State
11: Oklahoma State, BYU, Xavier, (California vs. Providence) 
12: Harvard, UW-Green Bay, Southern Miss, (Florida State vs. Minnesota)
13: S…

Bracketology 2/26/14

1: Florida, Arizona,Wichita State, Syracuse 
2: VillanovaCreightonWisconsin, Kansas
3: Michigan, Duke, Iowa State, Saint Louis 
4: Massachusetts, Michigan State, Virginia, Cincinnati
5: Louisville, Kentucky, San Diego State, UCLA 
6: New Mexico, Texas, North Carolina, Ohio State
7: Oklahoma, Memphis, Iowa, Stanford  
8: VCU, George Washington, Colorado, Connecticut
9: Baylor, Pittsburgh, SMU, Gonzaga 
10: Oklahoma State, St. Joseph's, Arizona State, Kansas State
11: BYU, Xavier, Minnesota, (California vs. Richmond) 
12: UW-Green Bay, Harvard, Toledo, (Florida State vs. Oregon)
13: Middle Tennessee,Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State, Mercer 
14: Delaware, Iona, New Mexico State, Belmont, 
15: Georgia State, Vermont, UC-Santa Barbara, Boston University 
16: (Robert Morris vs. Southern), (High Point vs. Weber State), Davidson, North Carolina Central

Last Four Byes: Oklahoma State BYU Xavier Minnesota
Last Four In: Oregon California Florida State Richmond First Four Out: Providence Nebraska…

Bracketology 2/25/14

1: Florida, Arizona,Wichita State, Syracuse
2: VillanovaCreightonWisconsin, Kansas
3:Michigan, Duke, Iowa State, Saint Louis
4: Massachusetts, Michigan State, Virginia, Cincinnati
5: Louisville, Kentucky, San Diego State, UCLA
6: Texas, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio State
7: New Mexico, Oklahoma, Memphis, Stanford
8:VCU, George Washington, Colorado, Connecticut 
9: Baylor, Pittsburgh, SMU, Gonzaga
10: BYU, Oklahoma State, Arizona State, Kansas State
11: Oregon, California, St. Joseph's, (Xavier vs. Richmond)
12: UW-Green Bay, Harvard, Toledo, (Florida State vs. Dayton) 
13: Middle Tennessee,Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State, Mercer
14: Delaware, Iona, New Mexico State, Belmont, 
15: Georgia State, Vermont, UC-Santa Barbara, Boston University
16: (Robert Morris vs. Southern), (High Point vs. Weber State), Davidson, North Carolina Central

Last Four Byes:
BYU
Oregon
California
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Bracketology 2/22/14

1: Florida, Arizona,Wichita State, Syracuse
2: VillanovaCreightonWisconsin, Kansas
3:Duke, Iowa State, Michigan StateMichigan 
4: Massachusetts, Virginia, Cincinnati, Saint Louis
5: Louisville, Kentucky, San Diego State, UCLA
6: Iowa, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Ohio State
7: Connecticut, New Mexico, Memphis, Texas
8:George Washington, Colorado, Pittsburgh, Stanford
9: Baylor, Arizona State, Gonzaga, Kansas State
10: Oregon, VCU, BYU, Oklahoma State
11: SMU, California, St. Joseph's, (Xavier vs. Richmond)
12: UW-Green Bay, Harvard, Toledo, (Missouri vs. Dayton) 
13: Middle Tennessee,Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State, Mercer
14: Delaware, Iona, New Mexico State, Belmont, 
15: Georgia State, Vermont, UC-Santa Barbara, Boston University
16: (Robert Morris vs. Southern), (High Point vs. Weber State), Davidson, North Carolina Central

Bracketology 2/18/14

Notes:
1. Toledo, and Harvard's positions on the lists at the bottom indicate where they would be without an autobid.
2. The odd numbered lines read left to right and the even numbers read right to left, like an S.
3. This bracket is updated through games of February 17th.
4. Link to the bracket for this update is here (go to the sheet entitled Bracket 2/18). If I missed a bracketing rule somewhere, let me know and I'll try and fix it. Note that I had to move some teams from their "true" seed line for bracketing purposes. St. Joesph's, BYU and Oklahoma State moved up a seed line while Oregon and Colorado moved down.
5. A breakdown by conference is now included at the end of the post.

1: Syracuse,Arizona, Florida, Wichita State
2: Duke,Wisconsin, CreightonKansas
3: Iowa State, VillanovaCincinnati, Michigan State
4: UCLA, San Diego State, Saint Louis, Michigan 
5: Virginia, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Ohio State
6: Louisville, Connecticut, Iowa, Texas
7: North Carolina, Oklah…

Bracketology 2/17/14

Notes:
1. Toledo, and Harvard's positions on the lists at the bottom indicate where they would be without an autobid.
2. The odd numbered lines read left to right and the even numbers read right to left, like an S.
3. This bracket is updated through games of February 16th.
4. Tons of movement on the 2 and 3 line with Michigan, Villanova and MSU losing while Creighton and Wisconsin win impressively. Pretty much no change at the bottom of the bracket.
5. I might put up a bracket later in the day depending on how much time I have.6. A breakdown by conference is now included at the end of the post.

1: Syracuse,Arizona, Florida, Wichita State
2: Duke,Wisconsin, CreightonKansas
3: Iowa State, VillanovaCincinnati, Michigan State
4: UCLA, San Diego State, Saint Louis, Michigan 
5: Virginia, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Ohio State
6: Louisville, Connecticut, Iowa, Texas
7: Colorado, Oklahoma, Gonzaga, Memphis
8: Kansas State, Pittsburgh, Arizona State, North Carolina
9: Stanford, George Washington,VCU, …

Bracketology 2/16/14

Notes:
1. Toledo, and Harvard's positions on the lists at the bottom indicate where they would be without an autobid.
2. The odd numbered lines read left to right and the even numbers read right to left, like an S.
3. This bracket is updated through games of February 15th.
4.  Baylor (beat Kansas State) and BYU (beat St. Mary's) enter the bracket at the expense of Tennessee (lost to Missouri) and Providence (was right on the cutline). Very little movement at the top aside from Saint Louis moving up a few spots and UCLA taking a protected seed from Kentucky. 
5. Toledo losing badly to Eastern Michigan means that we now have a First Four game on the 11 line. 
6. A breakdown by conference is now included at the end of the post.

1: Syracuse,Arizona, Florida, Wichita State
2: Michigan, Michigan State, Villanova, Kansas
3: Duke, Wisconsin, Creighton, Iowa State
4: UCLA, San Diego State, Saint Louis, Cincinnati
5: Virginia, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Ohio State
6: Louisville, Connecticut, Iowa, Te…