Bracketology 3/10/14
Notes:
1) Re-configured the seedings of some teams for this update. You'll notice some significant changes, especially on the 7-12 lines.
2) I've added the following categories to the seed list: Lock, Should Be In, Bubble and Auto-Bid Only.
Lock means that the team is going to the tournament irregardless.
Should Be In means that it would take a bad loss in the conference tournament to put a team in jeopardy. Bubble means that a team could go either way, in or out, relatively easily.
Auto-bid Only means that a team must win their conference tournament to get in.
3) I'm going to start chopping the "Next Five Out" list down over the week as the amount of teams with a chance to make the tournament decreases. Any team not listed there is going to need an auto bid.
4) The placement of Southern Miss on the "First Four Out" list indicates where they would be as of now without an autobid. They're probably only getting in with an autobid despite their inclusion on the list- a loss in the C-USA tourney would hurt their stock enough that they wouldn't get an at-large.
5) I'd like to make a quick note about UW-Green Bay since some people may be confused as to why they are included on the "Next Five Out" list. Even though their resume isn't all that great, the committee has set a precedent for letting teams like them into the tourney, such as Iona in 2012 or Middle Tennessee last year.
6) Bold indicates a team is projected to win the auto-bid of their conference, italics means that they have won it.
7) Remember that the seed list snakes: odd lines are read left to right and even lines are read right to left.
2: Syracuse, Wisconsin, Michigan, Kansas
3: Creighton, Duke, Virginia, Iowa State
4: Louisville, San Diego State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati
5: Michigan State, North Carolina, Saint Louis, Ohio State
6: VCU, Connecticut, Texas, Massachusetts
7: Kentucky, Oregon, Baylor, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Memphis, New Mexico, UCLA
9: Colorado, Iowa, Kansas State, Gonzaga
10: Arizona State, Dayton
11: Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh
12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (California/Xavier)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Boston University, Mercer, Georgia State
15: UC-Irvine, North Carolina Central, Wright State, Stony Brook
16: (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), (Alabama State/Wofford), Utah Valley, Robert Morris
Last Four Byes: St. Joseph's, Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh
Last Four In: California, Arkansas, BYU, Xavier
First Four Out: Tennessee, Minnesota, Missouri, Southern Miss
Next Five Out: Florida State, Georgetown, UW-Green Bay, Providence, St. John's
1) Re-configured the seedings of some teams for this update. You'll notice some significant changes, especially on the 7-12 lines.
2) I've added the following categories to the seed list: Lock, Should Be In, Bubble and Auto-Bid Only.
Lock means that the team is going to the tournament irregardless.
Should Be In means that it would take a bad loss in the conference tournament to put a team in jeopardy. Bubble means that a team could go either way, in or out, relatively easily.
Auto-bid Only means that a team must win their conference tournament to get in.
3) I'm going to start chopping the "Next Five Out" list down over the week as the amount of teams with a chance to make the tournament decreases. Any team not listed there is going to need an auto bid.
4) The placement of Southern Miss on the "First Four Out" list indicates where they would be as of now without an autobid. They're probably only getting in with an autobid despite their inclusion on the list- a loss in the C-USA tourney would hurt their stock enough that they wouldn't get an at-large.
5) I'd like to make a quick note about UW-Green Bay since some people may be confused as to why they are included on the "Next Five Out" list. Even though their resume isn't all that great, the committee has set a precedent for letting teams like them into the tourney, such as Iona in 2012 or Middle Tennessee last year.
6) Bold indicates a team is projected to win the auto-bid of their conference, italics means that they have won it.
7) Remember that the seed list snakes: odd lines are read left to right and even lines are read right to left.
Locks
1: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova2: Syracuse, Wisconsin, Michigan, Kansas
3: Creighton, Duke, Virginia, Iowa State
4: Louisville, San Diego State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati
5: Michigan State, North Carolina, Saint Louis, Ohio State
6: VCU, Connecticut, Texas, Massachusetts
7: Kentucky, Oregon, Baylor, George Washington
8: Oklahoma State, Memphis, New Mexico, UCLA
9: Colorado, Iowa, Kansas State, Gonzaga
10: Arizona State, Dayton
Should be in
10: St. Joseph's, Nebraska11: Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh
Bubble/Auto-Bid Only
11: (BYU/Arkansas)12: Toledo, Harvard, Southern Miss, (California/Xavier)
13: North Dakota State, Stephen F. Austin, Iona, Delaware
14: Eastern Kentucky, Boston University, Mercer, Georgia State
15: UC-Irvine, North Carolina Central, Wright State, Stony Brook
16: (Weber State/Coastal Carolina), (Alabama State/Wofford), Utah Valley, Robert Morris
Last Four Byes: St. Joseph's, Stanford, SMU, Pittsburgh
Last Four In: California, Arkansas, BYU, Xavier
First Four Out: Tennessee, Minnesota, Missouri, Southern Miss
Next Five Out: Florida State, Georgetown, UW-Green Bay, Providence, St. John's
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