Showing posts from July, 2012

2012 College Football Preview: BCS Bowl and Hypothetical Playoff Predictions

Hi guys! This is going to be one of my final 2012 College Football Preview posts. In this post I'll talk about how my projected records for the college football season (which you can find here) would fit with the current BCS bowl system, and the 4-team playoff system I outlined here. Before I start, I'd like to mention that these are not the records I'm predicting with my own opinion, but rather they're the records my power ratings are predicting.

My projected 2012 BCS bowls  With my projected records, there's a bit of controversy surrounding who plays in the National Championship. Utah, Georgia and Oklahoma are all undefeated major conference champions. Oklahoma did not play in a conference championship game, and they didn't beat a ranked team in a true road game. Georgia played the #72 schedule, easier than many mid-majors, and played only 3 teams with a winning conference record. Utah started off the season unranked, however they have 2 wins over top 10 team…

2012 College Football Preview: 4-team playoff

Unless you've been living under a rock for the last 2 weeks, you know that a 4-team college football playoff has been approved for the 2014 season. There's been a lot of speculation about how this playoff is going to work, but let's go over the concrete facts first.
1) 6 bowls (yet to be named) will rotate hosting the semi-finals
2) The championship game will be played in the highest bidding city
3) A selection committee will choose the 4 teams to participate in the playoffs
4) The 6 "major" bowls are free to make tie-in contracts with conferences/independent teams
5) Any non-semi major-bowl will have it's remaining spots chosen by the committee
6) All 6 "major" bowl games will be played on either December 31st or January 1st
And now, let's go over the selection procedures I am assuming for the purpose of this article:
1) The 6 "major" bowls will be the Rose, Sugar, Orange, Fiesta, Cotton and Chik-Fil-A (which I'll refer to by its …

2012 College Football Preview: Records

A few days ago, I gave you guys my 2012 power ratings. Today, I'm going to present my projected win-loss record for each team. I'd have to say that the team that surprised me the most in simulating the season was Utah. The Utes are projected as undefeated Pac-12 champions in my power ratings. I don't necessarily agree with that, but they do have a lot of signs pointing upwards. They also have a number of close games (vs. USC and vs. Oregon). Without further ado, here are my 2012 projected records.

Georgia 12-0 (8-0) (SEC champion)
Tennessee 10-2 (6-2)
South Carolina 8-4 (5-3)
Missouri 8-4 (4-4)
Florida 7-5 (4-4)
Vanderbilt 8-4 (4-4)
Kentucky 2-10 (0-8)
Arkansas 10-2 (6-2) (SEC West champion)
LSU 10-2 (6-2)
Texas A&M 9-3 (5-3)
Alabama 8-4 (4-4)
Mississippi State 7-5 (3-5)
Auburn 4-8 (1-7)
Mississippi 3-9 (0-8)

Big 10
Ohio State 10-2 (6-2)
Purdue 8-4 (5-3) (B10 Leaders champion, as OSU is ineligible)
Wisconsin 8-4 (5-3)
Illinois 6-6 (4-4)
Penn State …