Friday, February 16, 2018

Bracketology 2/16/18

Auburn moves back onto the 1 line as Purdue fell to Wisconsin. St. Mary's took a questionable loss to San Francisco and falls closer to the bubble. USC, UCLA and Utah all got wins out west to help their bubble chances. The big game tonight is Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure- might be a must-win for the Bonnies if they want an at-large.

1: Virginia, Xavier, Villanova, Auburn
2: Kansas, Duke, Purdue, Texas Tech
3: Michigan State, Cincinnati, North Carolina, Tennessee
4: Arizona, Clemson, West Virginia, Ohio State
5: Rhode Island, Gonzaga, Oklahoma, Wichita State
6: Missouri, Creighton, Kentucky, Florida State
7: Texas A&M, Nevada, Florida, Alabama
8: Miami (FL), Houston, Providence, Seton Hall
9: Virginia Tech, Arizona State, TCU, St. Mary's
10: Louisville, Michigan, Kansas State, Arkansas
11: Middle Tennessee, North Carolina State, USC, (Butler/Texas)
12: (UCLA/Baylor), Loyola Chicago, New Mexico State, Vermont
13: Louisiana, Buffalo, Murray State, East Tennessee State
14: Montana, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (Nicholls State/UNC Asheville), (Savannah State/Arkansas-Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Marquette, Syracuse, Utah, Nebraska
Next Four Out: LSU, St. Bonaventure, Washington, Georgia
In Consideration: Boise State, Mississippi State, Oklahoma State, Loyola Chicago, Penn State, Temple, Western Kentucky, New Mexico State, South Carolina
On the Brink: Notre Dame, BYU, Boston College, Colorado, Louisiana, SMU, UCF, St. John's

Moving In: UCLA, Baylor
Moving Out: LSU, Georgia

Thursday, February 15, 2018

Bracketology 2/15/18

It looks like I made a big mistake- I recently moved to Providence and was supposed to go to my first Providence basketball game last night against Villanova, but I opted to see Providence play Seton Hall next week because it was cheaper. A shame that I missed last night's thriller, hopefully the game next week is just as entertaining. The Friars move up to an 8 seed in today's projection, while Villanova falls to the 3rd 1 seed. If they lose to Xavier on Saturday, I might move them down to a 2. Two games I'm looking forward to tonight- Cincinnati @ Houston, as the Bearcats face their toughest challenge yet in the American, and Ohio State @ Penn State, as a Michigan State fan I'm pulling for the Nittany Lions so MSU can take a share of the Big Ten title.

1: Virginia, Xavier, Villanova, Purdue
2: Auburn, Kansas, Cincinnati, Duke
3: Texas Tech, Michigan State, North Carolina, Tennessee
4: Clemson, Ohio State, Arizona, West Virginia
5: Rhode Island, Gonzaga, Oklahoma, Missouri
6: Wichita State, Creighton, Kentucky, Florida State
7: Texas A&M, Nevada, Florida, Alabama
8: St. Mary's, Miami (FL), Arizona State, Providence
9: Virginia Tech, Seton Hall, TCU, Houston
10: Louisville, Michigan, Kansas State, Arkansas
11: North Carolina State, Middle Tennessee, Butler, (USC/LSU)
12: (Georgia/Texas), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Vermont
13: Louisiana, Buffalo, Murray State, Montana
14: East Tennessee State, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (Nicholls State/UNC Asheville), (Savannah State/Arkansas-Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Washington, UCLA, Baylor, Marquette
Next Four Out: Syracuse, Nebraska, St. Bonaventure, Boise State
In Consideration: Utah, New Mexico State, Mississippi State, Oklahoma State, Temple, Loyola Chicago, Western Kentucky, South Carolina
On the Brink: Notre Dame, BYU, Boston College, Colorado, Louisiana, SMU, Oregon, UCF

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Bracketology 2/14/18

The biggest bubble news of the night was Butler dropping a home game against Georgetown- it was the Bulldogs' first bad non-Q1 loss of the year and they are now tumbling  close to the cutline. Elsewhere, Michigan State hammered Minnesota and Texas Tech got a nice win over Oklahoma. The big bubble game tonight is Nevada @ Boise State- the Broncos will likely vault back into the field with a win, but their at-large chances will become very slim.

1: Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Purdue
2: Auburn, Kansas, Cincinnati, Duke
3: Texas Tech, Clemson, Michigan State, North Carolina
4: Tennessee, Ohio State, Arizona, West Virginia
5: Rhode Island, Gonzaga, Oklahoma, Florida
6: Missouri, Kentucky, Wichita State, Creighton
7: Texas A&M, Alabama, Miami (FL), St. Mary's
8: Arizona State, Florida State, Nevada, Seton Hall
9: Virginia Tech, TCU, Houston, Louisville
10: Michigan, Providence, Arkansas, Middle Tennessee
11: Butler, Kansas State, USC, (LSU/Syracuse)
12: (Texas/North Carolina State), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Vermont
13: Louisiana, Buffalo, Murray State, Montana
14: East Tennessee State, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (Nicholls State/UNC Asheville), (Savannah State/Arkansas-Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Washington, UCLA, Baylor, Marquette
Next Four Out: Boise State, Mississippi State, Georgia, Oklahoma State
In Consideration: Nebraska, St. Bonaventure, Utah, New Mexico State, Temple, Loyola Chicago, Western Kentucky, SMU, South Carolina, Nebraska
On the Brink: Notre Dame, BYU, Boston College, Colorado, Louisiana, Oregon, UCF

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Bracketology 2/13/18

Crazy finish in the Patriot League last night as Bucknell erased a 10 point deficit in under a minute to extend their lead to 3 games. Baylor got a huge double OT win at Texas which propels them to the first four out, and drops the Longhorns down close to the cutline. TCU lost again and has now dropped 9 of 14, the schedule eases a bit now as they don't play any teams above them in this projection until Texas Tech at the end of the regular season. I'll have my eye on Texas A&M @ Missouri tonight: both teams are scorching hot and making a climb up the bracket. It's not impossible for either to work their way up to a protected seed if they can continue to win.

1: Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Purdue
2: Auburn, Kansas, Cincinnati, Duke
3: Clemson, Texas Tech, Michigan State, North Carolina
4: Tennessee, Ohio State, Arizona, Oklahoma
5: West Virginia, Rhode Island, Gonzaga, Florida
6: Texas A&M, Kentucky, Wichita State, Creighton
7: Missouri, Alabama, Miami (FL), St. Mary's
8: Arizona State, Florida State, Nevada, Seton Hall
9: Virginia Tech, Butler, TCU, Houston
10: Louisville, Michigan, Providence, Arkansas
11: Middle Tennessee, Kansas State, USC, (LSU/Syracuse)
12: (Texas/North Carolina State), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Vermont
13: Louisiana, Buffalo, Murray State, Montana
14: East Tennessee State, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (Nicholls State/UNC Asheville), (Savannah State/Arkansas-Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Washington, UCLA, Baylor, Marquette
Next Four Out: Boise State, Mississippi State, Georgia, Oklahoma State
In Consideration: St. Bonaventure, Utah, New Mexico State, Temple, Loyola Chicago, Western Kentucky, South Carolina, SMU, Nebraska
On the Brink: Notre Dame, BYU, Boston College, Maryland, Colorado, Louisiana, Oregon, UCF

Monday, February 12, 2018

Bracketology 2/12/18

For me, The biggest surprise in the committee's top 16 reveal was Oklahoma as a 4 seed- to me that shows the importance of group 1 wins, of which Oklahoma has 6. Overall, I had Gonzaga and Rhode Island instead of Arizona and Oklahoma as 4 seeds, and I flipped Texas Tech and Duke on the 2/3 lines. Michigan State was a bit lower than I expected, which could be a sign that the predictive-based metrics will not be that influential this year. The Big 12 is the focus of attention tonight, as all of the teams clogged in the middle of the conference standings fight for positioning.

1: Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Purdue
2: Auburn, Kansas, Cincinnati, Duke
3: Clemson, Texas Tech, Michigan State, North Carolina
4: Tennessee, Ohio State, Arizona, Oklahoma
5: Rhode Island, Gonzaga, Florida, West Virginia
6: Texas A&M, Kentucky, Wichita State, Creighton
7: Missouri, Alabama, Miami (FL), St. Mary's
8: Arizona State, Florida State, TCU, Nevada
9: Virginia Tech, Butler, Seton Hall, Houston
10: Louisville, Michigan, Providence, Texas
11: Arkansas, Middle Tennessee, Kansas State, (USC/North Carolina State)
12: (LSU/Syracuse), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Vermont
13: Louisiana, Buffalo, Murray State, East Tennessee State
14: Montana, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (Nicholls State/UNC Asheville), (Grambling State/Savannah State)

First Four Out: Washington, UCLA, Marquette, Boise State
Next Four Out: Mississippi State, Georgia, Oklahoma State, St. Bonaventure
In Consideration: Utah, Baylor, New Mexico State, Temple, Loyola Chicago, Western Kentucky, South Carolina
On the Brink: SMU, Notre Dame, Nebraska, BYU, Boston College, Maryland, Colorado, Louisiana, Oregon, UCF

Sunday, February 11, 2018

Bracketology 2/11/18

Massive movement in the seed list yesterday, from the top to the bottom. Some quick notes on the seed list:
-I have no clue how to rank teams 4 through 10 (Purdue, my 2 seeds, Michigan State and Clemson). I could see the committee doing absolutely anything among these teams. Michigan State in particular will be an interesting litmus test as to the power of the RPI vs. predictive metrics.
-There was also a ton of upheaval on the 5 through 8 lines. Big winners include Texas A&M, who jumped all the way from an 8 seed to a 5 seed, Alabama, who is now far from the bubble foray, and Florida who jumped from a 5 to a 7. Those big jumps were caused by lots of teams in the area losing- West Virginia, Creighton, Oklahoma, Miami, St. Mary's and more.

The committee's reveal of their top 16 teams will be telling today- I'm watching for Michigan State's seed, as mentioned above, but also as to whether or not Gonzaga and Rhode Island will make the top 16, as they have similarly wide gulfs between their RPIs and Kenpom/Sagarin. It's only 4 weeks until Selection Sunday, buckle up because it's going to be a bumpy ride.

1: Villanova, Virginia, Xavier, Purdue
2: Auburn, Cincinnati, Texas Tech, Kansas
3: Michigan State, Clemson, North Carolina, Duke
4: Tennessee, Ohio State, Gonzaga, Rhode Island
5: Arizona, Florida, West Virginia, Texas A&M
6: Kentucky, Wichita State, Creighton, Missouri
7: Alabama, Oklahoma, Miami (FL), St. Mary's
8: Arizona State, Florida State, TCU, Nevada
9: Virginia Tech, Butler, Seton Hall, Houston
10: Louisville, Michigan, Providence, Texas
11: Arkansas, Middle Tennessee, Kansas State, (USC/North Carolina State)
12: (LSU/Syracuse), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Vermont
13: Louisiana, Buffalo, Murray State, East Tennessee State
14: Montana, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (Nicholls State/UNC Asheville), (Grambling State/Savannah State)

First Four Out: Washington, UCLA, Marquette, Boise State
Next Four Out: Mississippi State, Georgia, Oklahoma State, St. Bonaventure
In Consideration: Utah, Baylor, New Mexico State, SMU, Temple, Loyola Chicago, Western Kentucky, South Carolina
On the Brink: Notre Dame, Nebraska, BYU, Boston College, Maryland, Colorado, Louisiana, Oregon, UCF

Friday, February 9, 2018

Bracketology 2/9/18

Aside from Duke/UNC, the interesting action last night was on the west coast. UCLA moves closer to the field with a win at Arizona which drops the Pac-12 leaders to the 6 line. Washington looked like their Kenpom rating in a blowout loss in Autzen. And Gonzaga and St. Mary's keep chugging along en route to their titanic clash this Saturday. Davidson at Rhode Island is the biggest game tonight- the Wildcats are better than most people realize so this will be a tough game for the Rams.

1: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier
2: Kansas, Cincinnati, Auburn, Tennessee
3: Clemson, Texas Tech, Michigan State, Duke
4: North Carolina, West Virginia, Rhode Island, Ohio State
5: Florida, Oklahoma, Kentucky, Miami (FL)
6: St. Mary's, Wichita State, Gonzaga, Arizona
7: Creighton, Florida State, Missouri, Seton Hall
8: Texas A&M, Providence, Alabama, Arizona State
9: Butler, Texas, Nevada, TCU
10: Houston, Louisville, Michigan, Arkansas
11: Washington, Middle Tennessee, Kansas State, (Virginia Tech/LSU)
12: (Boise State/USC), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Buffalo
13: Louisiana, Vermont, Murray State, East Tennessee State
14: Montana, Northern Kentucky, South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (UNC Asheville/Nicholls State), (North Carolina A&T/Arkansas Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Mississippi State, North Carolina State, Marquette, UCLA
Next Four Out: Georgia, Syracuse, St. Bonaventure, Utah

In Consideration: South Carolina, New Mexico State, SMU, Loyola Chicago, Western Kentucky, Oklahoma State, Nebraska
On the Brink: BYU, Baylor, Temple, Maryland, Colorado, Buffalo, Notre Dame, Oregon, UCF, Boston College

Moving In: Murray State
Moving Out: Belmont

Thursday, February 8, 2018

Bracketology 2/8/18

3 of the top 5 teams on the seed list fell at home last night, although none of them moved seed lines. Purdue's grasp on a 1 seed is now much more tenuous- they'll probably drop if they lose in East Lansing on Saturday, while the Spartans may move up to a 2 seed with a win. On the bubble, Kansas State and Virginia Tech got big wins against fellow bubble teams Texas and NC State and move into the field.

1: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier
2: Kansas, Cincinnati, Auburn, Tennessee
3: Clemson, Texas Tech, Michigan State, Duke
4: West Virginia, Rhode Island, Ohio State, North Carolina
5: Florida, Arizona, Oklahoma, Kentucky
6: Miami (FL), St. Mary's, Wichita State, Gonzaga
7: Creighton, Florida State, Missouri, Seton Hall
8: Texas A&M, Providence, Alabama, Butler
9: Texas, Washington, Nevada, Arizona State
10: TCU, Louisville, Michigan, Arkansas
11: Houston, Middle Tennessee, USC, (Kansas State/Virginia Tech)
12: (LSU/Boise State), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Louisiana
13: Buffalo, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Montana
14: Northern Kentucky, Belmont, South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (UNC Asheville/Nicholls State), (North Carolina A&T/Arkansas Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Mississippi State, North Carolina State, Marquette, Georgia
Next Four Out: Syracuse, St. Bonaventure, SMU, Utah

In Consideration: South Carolina, New Mexico State, UCLA, Loyola Chicago, Western Kentucky, Nebraska, Louisiana
On the Brink: BYU, Baylor, Temple, Maryland, Colorado, Buffalo, Notre Dame, Oregon, UCF, Boston College

Moving In: Virginia Tech, Kansas State
Moving Out: North Carolina State, Georgia

Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Bracketology 2/7/18

Xavier moves up to a one seed with their win at Butler, and Boise State moves into the field with a nice win at New Mexico. I'll have my eye on Purdue/Ohio State tonight as the Boilermakers play their first of two huge games in a row.

1: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier
2: Auburn, Kansas, Cincinnati, Clemson
3: Tennessee, Texas Tech, Michigan State, Duke
4: West Virginia, Rhode Island, North Carolina, Arizona
5: Florida, Oklahoma, Kentucky, Miami (FL)
6: St. Mary's, Wichita State, Florida State, Seton Hall
7: Gonzaga, Creighton, Ohio State, Nevada
8: Texas, Missouri, Providence, Alabama
9: Butler, Washington, Arizona State, TCU
10: Louisville, Michigan, Arkansas, Texas A&M
11: Houston, Middle Tennessee, USC, (North Carolina State/LSU)
12: (Georgia/Boise State), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Louisiana
13: Buffalo, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Montana
14: Northern Kentucky, Belmont, South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (UNC Asheville/Nicholls State), (North Carolina A&T/Arkansas Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Mississippi State, Kansas State, Virginia Tech, Syracuse
Next Four Out: St. Bonaventure, SMU, Utah, South Carolina

In Consideration: New Mexico State, UCLA, Loyola Chicago, Marquette, Western Kentucky, Nebraska, Maryland, Louisiana
On the Brink: BYU, Baylor, Temple, Colorado, Buffalo, Notre Dame, Oregon, UCF, Boston College

Moving In: Boise State
Moving Out: Kansas State

Tuesday, February 6, 2018

Bracketology 2/6/18

West Virginia handed Oklahoma their first home loss of the year, which drops Oklahoma from the protected seeds for the first time all year. Syracuse moves closer to the bracket with a big win at Louisville. Tonight will be huge throughout the bracket, I'll be keeping my eye specifically on the 1-seed race as Xavier goes to Hinkle Fieldhouse and Kansas hosts a TCU team which has been their kryptonite in recent years.

1: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Auburn
2: Xavier, Kansas, Cincinnati, Clemson
3: Texas Tech, Tennessee, Michigan State, Duke
4: West Virginia, Kentucky, Rhode Island, North Carolina
5: Arizona, Florida, Oklahoma, Miami (FL)
6: St. Mary's, Wichita State, Florida State, Seton Hall
7: Gonzaga, Alabama, Creighton, Ohio State
8: Nevada, Texas, Butler, Providence
9: Missouri, Michigan, TCU, Washington
10: Arizona State, Louisville, Texas A&M, Arkansas
11: Houston, Middle Tennessee, USC, (North Carolina State/LSU)
12: (Georgia/Kansas State), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Louisiana
13: Buffalo, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Montana
14: Northern Kentucky, Belmont, South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (UNC Asheville/Nicholls State), (North Carolina A&T/Arkansas Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Virginia Tech, Boise State, St. Bonaventure, Syracuse
Next Four Out: Mississippi State, South Carolina, SMU, Utah

In Consideration: Oklahoma State, New Mexico State, UCLA, Loyola Chicago, Marquette, Western Kentucky, Nebraska, Maryland, Louisiana
On the Brink: BYU, Temple, Colorado, Buffalo, Notre Dame, Oregon, UCF, Baylor, Boston College

Moving In: LSU, Belmont, Charleston, Penn, Nicholls State, Arkansas Pine Bluff
Moving Out: Boise State, Murray State, Northeastern, Princeton, Stephen F. Austin, Texas Southern

Monday, February 5, 2018

Bracketology 2/5/18

A huge weekend sees many changes- headlined by a new #1 seed: Auburn. With both Kansas and Duke losing, I had lots of  options at the end of the 1-line, but Auburn has such a depth of quality wins that I chose them over Xavier and Kansas.

I also re-evaluated every team's resume yesterday, and there's a lot of moves during that. Some teams (such as Duke, Ohio State and TCU) have less meat on their resume than I realized, while others (such as Rhode Island, Alabama and Washington) have more.



1: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Auburn
2: Xavier, Kansas, Cincinnati, Clemson
3: Texas Tech, Tennessee, Michigan State, Duke
4: Kentucky, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, North Carolina
5: West Virginia, Arizona, Florida, Miami (FL)
6: St. Mary's, Wichita State, Florida State, Seton Hall
7: Gonzaga, Alabama, Creighton, Ohio State
8: Nevada, Texas, Butler, Louisville
9: Providence, Missouri, Michigan, TCU
10: Washington, Arizona State, Texas A&M, Arkansas
11: Houston, Middle Tennessee, USC, (North Carolina State/LSU)
12: (Georgia/Kansas State), New Mexico State, Loyola Chicago, Louisiana
13: Buffalo, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Montana
14: Northern Kentucky, Belmont, South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Charleston, Rider
16: Wagner, Penn, (UNC Asheville/Nicholls State), (North Carolina A&T/Arkansas Pine Bluff)

First Four Out: Virginia Tech, Boise State, St. Bonaventure, Mississippi State
Next Four Out: South Carolina, SMU, Utah, Oklahoma State

In Consideration: New Mexico State, Syracuse, UCLA, Loyola Chicago, Marquette, Western Kentucky, Nebraska, Maryland, Louisiana
On the Brink: BYU, Temple, Colorado, Buffalo, Notre Dame, Oregon, UCF, Baylor, Boston College

Moving In: LSU, Belmont, Charleston, Penn, Nicholls State, Arkansas Pine Bluff
Moving Out: Boise State, Murray State, Northeastern, Princeton, Stephen F. Austin, Texas Southern

Saturday, February 3, 2018

Bracketology 2/3/18

Utah lost a tough one at Colorado and is now a long way from the field, while Rhode Island is nearing protected seed status as they continue to romp through the A-10. Today is huge throughout the bracket, enjoy what will promise to be one of the best days of college hoops of the year.

1: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Kansas
2: Duke, Xavier, Clemson, Auburn
3: Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Texas Tech
4: Arizona, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia
5: Seton Hall, Rhode Island, North Carolina, Miami (FL)
6: Ohio State, TCU, Florida, Wichita State
7: Creighton, St. Mary's, Gonzaga, Texas
8: Nevada, Butler, Texas A&M, Michigan
9: Louisville, Arizona State, Arkansas, Florida State
10: Alabama, Providence, Kansas State, Missouri
11: North Carolina State, Washington, Middle Tennessee, (USC/Georgia)
12: (Houston/Boise State), New Mexico State, Louisiana, East Tennessee State
13: Loyola Chicago, Murray State, Vermont, Montana
14: Northern Kentucky, Buffalo, South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Northeastern, Princeton, Stephen F. Austin
16: Rider, Florida Gulf Coast, (Wagner/UNC Asheville), (Texas Southern/North Carolina A&T)

First Four Out: Virginia Tech, Western Kentucky, Syracuse, Marquette
Next Four Out: LSU, Mississippi State, South Carolina, SMU
Also Considered: Notre Dame, Temple, UCLA, Oklahoma State, Nebraska, New Mexico State, Utah, Penn State, Oregon, Baylor, St. Bonaventure, Maryland

Moving In: None
Moving Out: None

Bids by Conference:
SEC: 9
ACC: 8
Big 12: 7
Big East: 6
Big Ten: 4
Pac-12: 4
American: 3
Mountain West: 2
West Coast: 2

Friday, February 2, 2018

Bracketology 2/2/18

Relatively quiet night- Washington moves into the field for the first time all season with a win over Arizona State, and Temple moves into consideration with a win over Wichita State. Utah and Rhode Island have deceptively tricky road games tonight, and then a packed Saturday awaits.

1: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Kansas
2: Duke, Xavier, Clemson, Auburn
3: Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Texas Tech
4: Arizona, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia
5: Seton Hall, North Carolina, Rhode Island, Miami (FL)
6: Ohio State, TCU, Florida, Wichita State
7: Creighton, St. Mary's, Gonzaga, Texas
8: Nevada, Butler, Texas A&M, Michigan
9: Louisville, Arizona State, Arkansas, Florida State
10: Alabama, Providence, Kansas State, Missouri
11: North Carolina State, Washington, Middle Tennessee, (USC/Georgia)
12: (Houston/Boise State), New Mexico State, Louisiana, East Tennessee State
13: Loyola Chicago, Murray State, Vermont, Montana
14: Northern Kentucky, Buffalo, South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Northeastern, Princeton, Stephen F. Austin
16: Rider, Florida Gulf Coast, (Wagner/UNC Asheville), (Texas Southern/North Carolina A&T)

First Four Out: Virginia Tech, Western Kentucky, Syracuse, Marquette
Next Four Out: LSU, Mississippi State, South Carolina, SMU
Also Considered: Utah, Notre Dame, Temple, UCLA, Oklahoma State, Nebraska, New Mexico State, Penn State, Oregon, Baylor, St. Bonaventure, Maryland

Moving In: Washington, UNC Asheville
Moving Out: Virginia Tech, Winthrop

Bids by Conference:
SEC: 9
ACC: 8
Big 12: 7
Big East: 6
Big Ten: 4
Pac-12: 4
American: 3
Mountain West: 2
West Coast: 2

Thursday, February 1, 2018

Bracketology 2/1/18

Lots of bubble action last night, as Marquette, South Carolina and Houston all missed big opportunities for wins. West Virginia lost in Ames to fall to 5-4 in the Big 12 and is danger of losing a protected seed. Huge game tonight in the Pac-12 as Arizona State takes on Washington- the Huskies would move into the field with a win, which would send Arizona State closer to the bubble.

1: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Kansas
2: Duke, Xavier, Clemson, Auburn
3: Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Texas Tech
4: Arizona, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia
5: Seton Hall, North Carolina, Rhode Island, Wichita State
6: Miami (FL), Ohio State, TCU, Florida
7: Creighton, St. Mary's, Gonzaga, Arizona State
8: Texas, Nevada, Butler, Texas A&M
9: Michigan, Louisville, Arkansas, Florida State
10: Alabama, Providence, Kansas State, Missouri
11: North Carolina State, USC, (Georgia/Houston), (Boise State/Virginia Tech)
12: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Louisiana, East Tennessee State
13: Loyola Chicago, Murray State, Vermont, Montana
14: Northern Kentucky, Buffalo, South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara
15: Bucknell, Northeastern, Princeton, Stephen F. Austin
16: Rider, Florida Gulf Coast, (Winthrop/Wagner), (Texas Southern/North Carolina A&T)

First Four Out: Washington, SMU, Western Kentucky, Syracuse
Next Four Out: Marquette, LSU, Mississippi State, South Carolina
Also Considered: Utah, Notre Dame, UCLA, Oklahoma State, Nebraska, New Mexico State, Penn State, Oregon, Baylor, St. Bonaventure, Maryland

Moving In: Virginia Tech
Moving Out: Marquette

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 9
SEC: 9
Big 12: 7
Big East: 6
Big Ten: 4
American: 3
Pac-12: 3
Mountain West: 2
West Coast: 2