Bracketology 12/20/17
Traditionally I put out my first bracket of the season on New Year's Eve, but I decided to do it a little earlier this year because I've been able to watch more college hoops than normal so far this season. At this point in the season, a lot of this is guesswork- the RPI is still pretty erratic, so I'm putting more weight into things like Kenpom and Sagarin than I do later in the season.
I've spent a lot of the time in the last month working with a few classmates on a bracketology model. We're just gathering our final results now- my plan is to make a post on here some time in January about the model.
1: Villanova, Duke, Michigan State, North Carolina
2: Arizona State, Texas A&M, West Virginia, Virginia
3: Purdue, Kansas, TCU, Wichita State
4: Oklahoma, Xavier, Kentucky, Miami (FL)
5: Cincinnati, Arizona, Tennessee, Gonzaga
6: Missouri, Seton Hall, Arkansas, Texas Tech
7: Creighton, St. John's, Texas Tech, Auburn
8: Alabama, Florida State, SMU, Michigan
9: Rhode Island, Clemson, Nevada, Baylor
10: Notre Dame, Temple, Syracuse, Florida
11: Boise State, Butler, (Louisville/Texas), (Virginia Tech/Minnesota)
12: Northern Iowa, Middle Tennessee, UT-Arlington, Vermont
13: Northern Kentucky, New Mexico State, South Dakota, Towson
14: UNC Greensboro, Bucknell, Idaho, Murray State
15: Ball State, Penn, Lipscomb, Iona
16: UC Santa Barbara, Stephen F. Austin, (Liberty/St. Francis (PA)), (Texas Southern/Morgan State)
Last Four In: Louisville, Texas, Virginia Tech, Minnesota
First Four Out: Maryland, Northern Iowa, Penn State, St. Mary's
Next Four Out: Ohio State, Middle Tennessee, Utah, UCF
Also Considered: Providence, Kansas State, BYU, Houston, UCLA, Oregon, St. Bonaventure, USC, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Washington, Old Dominion, Oklahoma State, Northwestern, Iowa State, San Diego State, Marquette, Georgia, Towson, UNLV, UT-Arlington, Georgia Southern, Boston College, Vermont, Fresno State, Colorado
I've spent a lot of the time in the last month working with a few classmates on a bracketology model. We're just gathering our final results now- my plan is to make a post on here some time in January about the model.
1: Villanova, Duke, Michigan State, North Carolina
2: Arizona State, Texas A&M, West Virginia, Virginia
3: Purdue, Kansas, TCU, Wichita State
4: Oklahoma, Xavier, Kentucky, Miami (FL)
5: Cincinnati, Arizona, Tennessee, Gonzaga
6: Missouri, Seton Hall, Arkansas, Texas Tech
7: Creighton, St. John's, Texas Tech, Auburn
8: Alabama, Florida State, SMU, Michigan
9: Rhode Island, Clemson, Nevada, Baylor
10: Notre Dame, Temple, Syracuse, Florida
11: Boise State, Butler, (Louisville/Texas), (Virginia Tech/Minnesota)
12: Northern Iowa, Middle Tennessee, UT-Arlington, Vermont
13: Northern Kentucky, New Mexico State, South Dakota, Towson
14: UNC Greensboro, Bucknell, Idaho, Murray State
15: Ball State, Penn, Lipscomb, Iona
16: UC Santa Barbara, Stephen F. Austin, (Liberty/St. Francis (PA)), (Texas Southern/Morgan State)
Last Four In: Louisville, Texas, Virginia Tech, Minnesota
First Four Out: Maryland, Northern Iowa, Penn State, St. Mary's
Next Four Out: Ohio State, Middle Tennessee, Utah, UCF
Also Considered: Providence, Kansas State, BYU, Houston, UCLA, Oregon, St. Bonaventure, USC, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Washington, Old Dominion, Oklahoma State, Northwestern, Iowa State, San Diego State, Marquette, Georgia, Towson, UNLV, UT-Arlington, Georgia Southern, Boston College, Vermont, Fresno State, Colorado
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