Bracketology 1/30/20

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The part of the bracket I feel least certain about is the 9 through 11 seeds. There's some mid-majors in here who have strung together a few wins (VCU, BYU, St. Mary's) and some high major teams that are struggling. I've settled on this version for now, but things are very fluid in this area.

I was getting ready to shout out the at-large case of East Tennessee State in this space today, as they had quite a nice resume going. However, the Buccaneers got whipped by Kenpom #212 Mercer at home last night, taking a massive bite out of their at-large case. In all likelihood, Northern Iowa is our only real potential mid-major at-large this year, although ETSU, Yale or Stephen F. Austin could get in the conversation if they win out.

1: Baylor, Kansas, San Diego State, Gonzaga
2: Duke, Dayton, Seton Hall, West Virginia
3: Florida State, Michigan State, Butler, Villanova
4: Louisville, Maryland, Oregon, Iowa
5: Penn State, Auburn, Creighton, Colorado
6: Kentucky, Arizona, LSU, Illinois
7: Rutgers, Houston, Wichita State, Stanford
8: Wisconsin, Texas Tech, Marquette, Ohio State
9: USC, Michigan, St. Mary's, Indiana
10: VCU, Oklahoma, Memphis, BYU
11: Purdue, Arkansas, Northern Iowa, (Minnesota/Florida)
12: (Rhode Island/Virginia), East Tennessee State, Liberty, Yale
13: Stephen F. Austin, North Texas, Akron, Wright State
14: Vermont, New Mexico State, Georgia State, Eastern Washington
15: Colgate, Murray State, North Dakota State, William & Mary
16: Winthrop, UC Irvine, (Monmouth/Robert Morris), (Prairie View A&M/Norfolk State)

First Four Out: Richmond, Alabama, North Carolina State, Saint Louis
Next Four Out: Virginia Tech, East Tennessee State, Mississippi State, Georgetown

Moving In: Rhode Island, Virginia, North Texas
Moving Out: North Carolina State, Richmond, Louisiana Tech

Bids by Conference:
Big Ten: 12
Big 12: 5
Big East: 5
Pac-12: 5
SEC: 5
ACC: 4
American: 3
Atlantic 10: 3
West Coast: 3

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