Bracketology 2/17/13

Some news and notes (encompasses this bracket and the last):
1) Before my Saturday bracket, I did another re-evaluation of the teams, and moved some teams drastically up or down (Cal, Virginia, Illinois etc.)
2) The Last Four Byes group is really intriguing. Creighton and Mississippi are both falling like a stone, especially the Bluejays. Meanwhile, Cal and Maryland are shooting up through the bubble.
3) Kentucky took a very steep tumble. If they play like this without Nerlens Noel, they're NIT-bound.
4) Illinois' progression this year really is quite astounding. From protected seed to bubble to middle of the bracket. We'll see where they are come Selection Sunday. 
5)  The top 2 lines remain very fluid. I'm pretty confident that the top 9 teams on the S-curve are the top 9 teams, but the order is a complete mess. I think the 1-seed debate will be especially heated this year.
6) Interesting tidbit: 6 out of the first 8 teams out of the field are from non-power conferences.
7) The bracket is after the seed list.

Selection Sunday is only 4 weeks away! Here's the seed list. Remember it snakes, so Indiana is the top 1 seed, Michigan is the top 2, Syracuse the top 3, K-State the top 4, etc.


1: Indiana, Miami (FL), Florida, Duke 

2: KansasGonzaga, Michigan State, Michigan 
3: Syracuse, New Mexico, Louisville, Arizona
4: Wisconsin, Minnesota, Georgetown, Kansas State
5: Oklahoma State, Ohio State, Colorado State, Marquette
6: Cincinnati, North Carolina State, Butler, Pittsburgh
7: VCU, Illinois, Oregon, UNLV
8: Memphis, UCLA, Colorado, Oklahoma
9: San Diego State, Notre Dame, La Salle, Wichita State
10: North Carolina, Saint Louis, Iowa State, Missouri
11: Creighton, Mississippi, California, Maryland
12: Belmont, Middle Tennessee, (Baylor/Saint John's), (Arizona State/Boise State
13: Louisiana Tech, Bucknell, Stephen F Austin, Akron
14: Davidson, Harvard, Western Illinois, Valparaiso
15: Florida Gulf Coast, Montana, Stony Brook, Long Beach State
16: (Niagara/Bryant), (North Carolina Central/UNC-Asheville), Southern, Northeastern



Last Four Byes:
Creighton
Mississippi

California
Maryland

Last Four In:
Boise State
Baylor
Saint John's
Arizona State

First Four Out:
Villanova
Temple
Kentucky
Wyoming


Next Four Out:
Southern Miss
Charlotte
Saint Mary's
Massachusetts

Also Considered:
Stanford
Air Force
Virginia
Arkansas

I had to move a few teams between seed lines in the bracket for bracketing purposes. Here's a list:
Kansas State (4 to 3)
Oklahoma State (5 to 4)
Arizona (3 to 4)
Wisconsin (4 to 5)
Here's the bracket! Winner of the Indianapolis regional plays the winner of the Los Angeles regional in the final 4, DC plays Dallas.

Indianapolis

Dayton
1 Indiana vs. 16 (Niagara/Bryant)
8 Memphis vs. 9 La Salle

San Jose
4 Arizona vs. 13 Louisiana Tech
5 Colorado State vs. 12 (Baylor/Saint John's)

Philadelphia
3 Syracuse vs. 14 Davidson
6 North Carolina State vs. 11 Creighton

Kansas City
2 Kansas vs. 15 Florida Gulf Coast
7 Illinois vs. 10 Saint Louis


Los Angeles

Philadelphia
1 Duke vs. 16 Northeastern
8 Oklahoma vs. 9 Wichita State

Austin
4 Minnesota vs. 13 Akron
5 Marquette vs. 12 (Arizona State/Boise State)

Dayton
3 Louisville vs. 14 Valparaiso
6 Butler vs. 11 Maryland

Auburn Hills
2 Michigan vs. 15 Long Beach State
7 Oregon vs. 10 Missouri


Washington DC

Lexington
1 vs. 16 (North Carolina Central/UNC-Asheville)
8 vs. 9 Notre Dame

San Jose

4 Oklahoma State vs. 13 Bucknell
5 Ohio State vs. 12 Middle Tennessee


Salt Lake City
3 New Mexico vs. 14 Harvard
6 Cincinnati vs. 11 Mississippi

Salt Lake City
2 Gonzaga vs. 15 Montana
7 VCU vs. 10 Iowa State


Dallas

Lexington
1 Florida vs. 16 Southern
8 Coloradovs. 9 San Diego State

Austin

4 Georgetown vs. 13 Stephen F Austin
5 Wisconsin vs. 12 Belmont


Kansas City
3 Kansas State vs. 14 Western Illinois
6 Pittsburgh vs. 11 California

Auburn Hills
2 Michigan State vs. 15 Stony Brook
7 UNLV vs. 10 North Carolina


Comments

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