Bracketology 3/16/13

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News/Notes:

 1) Well, hello Maryland! That win over Duke is great, but they need to be the Tar Heels tomorrow to move into the bracket. It's rough when you go 8-10 in the ACC, I know.
2) I think it's unfair to consider Southern Miss a bubble team. If they lose to Memphis, they won't make tournament. If they do beat Memphis, they'd be in good enough position to probably get an at-large (but beating Memphis would give them the auto-bid). Would they still count as a bid stealer in that case?
3) Tennessee and Kentucky both got some losses they did not want today. Tennessee is in a better position because they were ahead of the 'Cats originally, and 
4) Let's set some realistic boundaries around the bubble:
I could conceivably see anyone from Villanova down playing in the First Four.
I would be flabbergasted to see anyone from Temple up miss the tournament.
I would be surprised if Saint Mary's, California or La Salle missed the tournament.
I would be quite surprised to see Kentucky or Virginia get in.
5) I'll do my final re-evaluation for the year this evening. 

 1: Indiana, Gonzaga, Duke, Louisville
2: Miami (FL), Georgetown, Michigan State, Kansas 
3: New Mexico, Ohio State, Michigan, Florida
4: Marquette, Wisconsin, Kansas State, Syracuse
5: UNLV, Butler, Arizona, Saint Louis
6: Pittsburgh, VCU, Oklahoma State, UCLA
7: North Carolina State, Memphis, Colorado State, Notre Dame
8: San Diego State, Minnesota, Illinois, North Carolina
9: Creighton, Oregon, Cincinnati, Missouri
10: Wichita State, Iowa State, Belmont, Colorado, 
11: Oklahoma, Villanova, Temple, Saint Mary's
12: Bucknell, (Boise State/California), (La Salle/Middle Tennessee), Mississippi
13: Akron, Stephen F Austin, South Dakota State, New Mexico State
14: Montana, Davidson, Harvard, Valparaiso
15: Florida Gulf Coast, Vermont, Iona, Pacific
16: (Southern/LIU-Brooklyn), (Morgan State/Liberty), Western Kentucky, James Madison

Last Four Byes:
Villanova
Temple
Saint Mary's
Mississippi

Last Four In:
California
La Salle
Boise State
Middle Tennessee

First Six Out:
Tennessee 
Maryland
Alabama
Southern Miss
Kentucky
Virginia

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