Bracketology 3/15/15 Morning
1) Well, we're finally at Selection Sunday. The bubble, in my mind, comes down to 3 teams for 2 spots (which will become only 1 spot if UConn wins). Right now I am leaning towards having BYU out and Boise State and Ole Miss in. All of this would've been much simpler if Wyoming had lost to San Diego State.
2) Here's how the games today could effect the seed list, aside from any changes I might make unrelated to today's games:
Georgia State/Georgia Southern: If Georgia State wins nothing changes. If Georgia Southern wins they go between Albany and UAB. Belmont and UC Irvine bump up a line.
VCU/Dayton: VCU moves up a spot but does not jump to a 6 with a win. With a loss they drop down to the top 8 seed and Iowa gets a 7. Dayton moves just behind Colorado State with a win, but drops 1 spot with a loss.
Arkansas/Kentucky: Nothing changes with a Kentucky win. If Arkansas wins, they move up 4 spots on the seed list and Georgetown moves down to a 6.
Michigan State/Wisconsin: If Wisconsin wins they pass Virginia for the last one seed, and Michigan State moves down to just above Utah. If Michigan State wins, they move up 3 spots on the S-curve and Georgetown (or Wichita State, if Arkansas also wins) moves down. Also, if the Spartans win the Badgers get passed by Arizona.
Connecticut/SMU: If SMU wins nothing changes. If UConn wins then SMU moves below Georgetown (and is at risk of moving to a 6 depending on Big Ten/SEC results). Also, UConn enters the bracket as the last 11 seed, bumping the First Four games up a spot and bumping Ole Miss out.
3) I am going to start assembling my bracket right now. I will probably put out another one once all the dust settles on today's games.
4) I will, of course, release another bracket marked "final" this evening after the conclusion of the AAC and Big Ten conference championship games.
1: Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Virginia
2: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3: Iowa State, Notre Dame, Maryland, Baylor
4: Louisville, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Northern Iowa
5: North Carolina, SMU, Wichita State, Georgetown
6: Michigan State, Arkansas, Utah, Providence
7: Butler, VCU, Oregon, San Diego State
8: Iowa, Xavier, St. John's, Ohio State
9: Davidson, Colorado State, North Carolina State, Cincinnati
10: Oklahoma State, Dayton, Purdue, Georgia
11: Temple, Texas, (Indiana/LSU), (Boise State/Ole Miss)
12: Stephen F. Austin, Wyoming, Buffalo, Wofford
13: Valparaiso, Harvard, Georgia State, Eastern Washington
14: UC Irvine, Northeastern, North Dakota State, New Mexico State
15: Belmont, Albany, UAB, Texas Southern
16: Coastal Carolina, Lafayette, (North Florida/Manhattan), (Robert Morris/Hampton)
Bubble In: Temple, Texas, Indiana, LSU, Boise State, Ole Miss
Bubble Out: BYU, UCLA, Miami (FL), Stanford, Tulsa
2) Here's how the games today could effect the seed list, aside from any changes I might make unrelated to today's games:
Georgia State/Georgia Southern: If Georgia State wins nothing changes. If Georgia Southern wins they go between Albany and UAB. Belmont and UC Irvine bump up a line.
VCU/Dayton: VCU moves up a spot but does not jump to a 6 with a win. With a loss they drop down to the top 8 seed and Iowa gets a 7. Dayton moves just behind Colorado State with a win, but drops 1 spot with a loss.
Arkansas/Kentucky: Nothing changes with a Kentucky win. If Arkansas wins, they move up 4 spots on the seed list and Georgetown moves down to a 6.
Michigan State/Wisconsin: If Wisconsin wins they pass Virginia for the last one seed, and Michigan State moves down to just above Utah. If Michigan State wins, they move up 3 spots on the S-curve and Georgetown (or Wichita State, if Arkansas also wins) moves down. Also, if the Spartans win the Badgers get passed by Arizona.
Connecticut/SMU: If SMU wins nothing changes. If UConn wins then SMU moves below Georgetown (and is at risk of moving to a 6 depending on Big Ten/SEC results). Also, UConn enters the bracket as the last 11 seed, bumping the First Four games up a spot and bumping Ole Miss out.
3) I am going to start assembling my bracket right now. I will probably put out another one once all the dust settles on today's games.
4) I will, of course, release another bracket marked "final" this evening after the conclusion of the AAC and Big Ten conference championship games.
1: Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Virginia
2: Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas
3: Iowa State, Notre Dame, Maryland, Baylor
4: Louisville, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Northern Iowa
5: North Carolina, SMU, Wichita State, Georgetown
6: Michigan State, Arkansas, Utah, Providence
7: Butler, VCU, Oregon, San Diego State
8: Iowa, Xavier, St. John's, Ohio State
9: Davidson, Colorado State, North Carolina State, Cincinnati
10: Oklahoma State, Dayton, Purdue, Georgia
11: Temple, Texas, (Indiana/LSU), (Boise State/Ole Miss)
12: Stephen F. Austin, Wyoming, Buffalo, Wofford
13: Valparaiso, Harvard, Georgia State, Eastern Washington
14: UC Irvine, Northeastern, North Dakota State, New Mexico State
15: Belmont, Albany, UAB, Texas Southern
16: Coastal Carolina, Lafayette, (North Florida/Manhattan), (Robert Morris/Hampton)
Bubble In: Temple, Texas, Indiana, LSU, Boise State, Ole Miss
Bubble Out: BYU, UCLA, Miami (FL), Stanford, Tulsa
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