Bracketology 3/8/15

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1) No new bracket today since I'm late with the seed list.

 2) Moving in today are Purdue and Belmont. Moving out are Texas A&M and Murray State. The Aggies need to make it to at least the SEC semifinals to have a shot. If they knock off Kentucky there, they're in for sure but if all they get are wins over Mississippi State/Auburn and LSU they'll be sweating it out on Selection Sunday.

 3) Murray State has almost no shot at an at-large. The recent precedents for teams like them making the tournament are 2012 Iona (RPI 25 places higher than Murray State, with 5 RPI top 100 wins) and 2013 Middle Tennessee State (RPI 35 places higher than Murray State, with an RPI top 50 win). So there's not much of a chance.

 1: Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova

2: Arizona, Wisconsin, Gonzaga, Kansas

3: Iowa State, Oklahoma, Maryland, Notre Dame

4: Baylor, Louisville, North Carolina, Northern Iowa

5: Butler, West Virginia, Utah, Wichita State

6: SMU, Providence, Georgetown, Arkansas

7: San Diego State, Michigan State, St. John's, VCU

8: Ohio State, Iowa, Oregon, Colorado State

9: Dayton, Oklahoma State, Georgia, North Carolina State

10: LSU, Davidson, Cincinnati, Xavier

11: Purdue, BYU, Mississippi, Boise State/Indiana

12: Texas/Temple, Buffalo, Wofford, Iona

13: Stephen F. Austin, Louisiana Tech, Valparaiso, Yale

14: UC Davis, Georgia State, South Dakota State, Eastern Washington

15: William & Mary, Belmont, North Carolina Central, New Mexico State

16: Albany, Bucknell, (Texas Southern/Coastal Carolina), (St. Francis (NY)/North Florida)

Last Four Byes: Xavier, Purdue, BYU, Mississippi

Last Four In: Boise State, Indiana, Texas, Temple

First Four Out: Tulsa, Texas A&M, Stanford, UCLA

Next Four Out: Illinois, Old Dominion, Richmond, Miami (FL)

Needing a Miracle: Rhode Island, Murray State

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