Bracketology 2/28/16

1) I just ran my model, and this is what it spit out. Lots of movement yesterday- Florida is out of my bracket for the first time this season now and they're in genuine bubble trouble. Vanderbilt makes their first move in since January. I'd consider any team on the top 7 seed lines a lock at this point, and any teams on the 8 or 9 lines as teams that should be in. After that, the bubble begins.
2) Notable bubble games today:
Xavier @ Seton Hall- The Pirates will be very close to  a lock if they win this one.
Houston @ Connecticut- Houston is better than their RPI suggests, but the Huskies will probably be out of my field with a loss.
Duke @ Pittsburgh- Pittsburgh can probably avoid real bubble danger if the win this.

1: Kansas, Villanova, Oklahoma, Xavier
2: Oregon, Miami (FL), Virginia, North Carolina
3: Michigan State, West Virginia, Utah, Duke
4: Maryland, Iowa, Iowa State, Kentucky
5: Texas, Baylor, Arizona, Indiana
6: California, Purdue, Texas A&M, Dayton
7: Texas Tech, Notre Dame, St. Joseph's, Wisconsin
8: Colorado, South Carolina, USC, Oregon State
9: Seton Hall, Wichita State, Pittsburgh, Providence
10: Tulsa, Syracuse, Michigan, (Connecticut/St. Bonaventure)
11: St. Mary's, Arkansas-LR, (Cincinnati/Vanderbilt), VCU
12: Monmouth, Temple, Valparaiso, San Diego State
13: South Dakota State, Yale, Chattanooga, Akron
14: Stony Brook, UNC Wilmington, Hawaii, UAB
15: Belmont, Stephen F. Austin, New Mexico State, Weber State
16: Winthrop, North Florida, (Hampton/Bucknell), (Wagner/Texas Southern)

Moving In: VCU, Vanderbilt
Moving Out: Florida, Butler
Removed From Consideration: None

First Four Out: Florida, Butler, Alabama, George Washington
Next Four Out: Gonzaga, Washington, Florida State, UCLA



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