Bracketology 2/14/17
I did my resume re-evaluation that I do every two weeks this afternoon, so there's a lot of movement throughout the bracket. This shuffling moved Illinois State into the bracket, which gives the Missouri Valley 2 bids for the first time all year in my bracket. My hunch is that if both Illinois State and Wichita State win out until the final of Arch Madness, both will make the field regardless of the result of that game. The eye test certainly leads me to think both of them belong in the field, especially considering Wichita State's top-20 Kenpom mark.
Elsewhere in the action of the night, we got to witness 2 overtime thrillers as neither Syracuse nor West Virginia were able to pull off an upset. Kansas was as impressive as any team I've seen this year in their comeback against the Mountaineers. West Virginia, despite the love advanced metrics have for them, fall out of the protected seeds- the worst RPI to get a protected seed since the tournament expanded to 68 was 2015 Georgetown (with an RPI of 25). West Virginia's mark of 29 is unprecedented for a protected seed.
Tomorrow's bubble intrigue lies mainly in the ACC as Wake Forest takes on Clemson, as the Tigers look to stop their plunge which has knocked them out of my bracket for the first time all year. Elsewhere, Pittsburgh and Ohio State will be looking to keep their faint bubble hopes alive.
1: Villanova, Kansas, Gonzaga, Baylor
2: North Carolina, Florida State, Louisville, Oregon
3: Arizona, Kentucky, Virginia, Florida
4: Butler, Duke, Creighton, Purdue
5: UCLA, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Cincinnati
6: Notre Dame, Xavier, Maryland, South Carolina
7: SMU, St. Mary's, Minnesota, Northwestern
8: USC, Dayton, Oklahoma State, Virginia Tech
9: VCU, TCU, Michigan State, California
10: Kansas State, Iowa State, Wichita State, Miami (FL)
11: Arkansas, Wake Forest, (Michigan/Syracuse), (Tennessee/Illinois State)
12: Middle Tennessee, UNC Wilmington, Vermont, UT-Arlington
13: Belmont, Princeton, Boise State, Bucknell
14: Valparaiso, Furman, Akron, Monmouth
15: UNC Asheville, Cal State Bakersfield, Florida Gulf Coast, North Dakota State
16: North Carolina Central, Weber State, (UC Irvine/New Orleans), (Texas Southern/Mount Saint Mary's)
First Four Out: Seton Hall, Marquette, Georgetown, Georgia Tech
Next Four Out: Clemson, Indiana, Rhode Island, Providence
Moving In: Illinois State, Tennessee
Moving Out: Georgia Tech, Clemson
Removed From Consideration: None
Bids by Conference:
ACC: 10
Big 12: 7
Big Ten: 7
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 5
Big East: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2
Elsewhere in the action of the night, we got to witness 2 overtime thrillers as neither Syracuse nor West Virginia were able to pull off an upset. Kansas was as impressive as any team I've seen this year in their comeback against the Mountaineers. West Virginia, despite the love advanced metrics have for them, fall out of the protected seeds- the worst RPI to get a protected seed since the tournament expanded to 68 was 2015 Georgetown (with an RPI of 25). West Virginia's mark of 29 is unprecedented for a protected seed.
Tomorrow's bubble intrigue lies mainly in the ACC as Wake Forest takes on Clemson, as the Tigers look to stop their plunge which has knocked them out of my bracket for the first time all year. Elsewhere, Pittsburgh and Ohio State will be looking to keep their faint bubble hopes alive.
1: Villanova, Kansas, Gonzaga, Baylor
2: North Carolina, Florida State, Louisville, Oregon
3: Arizona, Kentucky, Virginia, Florida
4: Butler, Duke, Creighton, Purdue
5: UCLA, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Cincinnati
6: Notre Dame, Xavier, Maryland, South Carolina
7: SMU, St. Mary's, Minnesota, Northwestern
8: USC, Dayton, Oklahoma State, Virginia Tech
9: VCU, TCU, Michigan State, California
10: Kansas State, Iowa State, Wichita State, Miami (FL)
11: Arkansas, Wake Forest, (Michigan/Syracuse), (Tennessee/Illinois State)
12: Middle Tennessee, UNC Wilmington, Vermont, UT-Arlington
13: Belmont, Princeton, Boise State, Bucknell
14: Valparaiso, Furman, Akron, Monmouth
15: UNC Asheville, Cal State Bakersfield, Florida Gulf Coast, North Dakota State
16: North Carolina Central, Weber State, (UC Irvine/New Orleans), (Texas Southern/Mount Saint Mary's)
First Four Out: Seton Hall, Marquette, Georgetown, Georgia Tech
Next Four Out: Clemson, Indiana, Rhode Island, Providence
Moving In: Illinois State, Tennessee
Moving Out: Georgia Tech, Clemson
Removed From Consideration: None
Bids by Conference:
ACC: 10
Big 12: 7
Big Ten: 7
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 5
Big East: 4
Atlantic 10: 2
American: 2
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2
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