Bracketology 2/28/17

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I re-ran my model this afternoon, and it produced some interesting results. First, Gonzaga is now off my 1-line and Louisville is in their place. However, Louisville, Butler and the 4 2-seeds are all incredibly close to each other, and I think that any team on the 1 or 2 lines could end up with a 1 seed.

The other notable result was that Rhode Island shot up into my field, as my model is impressed with their RPI (44) and the fact that they have two RPI top 25 wins (Cincinnati and VCU).

Tomorrow's bubble action includes must wins for Georgetown (@ Seton Hall) and Indiana (@ Purdue) as both teams search for quality wins to move into the field. Elsewhere, Vanderbilt has a chance for the ultimate SEC marquee win at Rupp Arena and Providence will be attempting to avoid the ultimate Big East bad loss at home against DePaul.

1: Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, Louisville
2: Baylor, Gonzaga, Oregon, Kentucky
3: Butler, Florida State, Florida, Arizona
4: Duke, UCLA, Virginia, Purdue
5: Minnesota, Notre Dame, West Virginia, Cincinnati
6: Creighton, SMU, St. Mary's, Wisconsin
7: Maryland, Dayton, Virginia Tech, Iowa State
8: South Carolina, Oklahoma State, Xavier, Miami (FL)
9: Arkansas, Michigan State, VCU, Michigan
10: Wichita State, Northwestern, Providence, USC
11: Seton Hall, Middle Tennessee, Marquette, (Syracuse/Vanderbilt)
12: (Illinois State/Rhode Island), UNC Wilmington, Nevada, UT-Arlington
13: Monmouth, Vermont, Princeton, Belmont
14: East Tennessee State, Bucknell, Akron, Valparaiso
15: UNC Asheville, Cal State Bakersfield, Florida Gulf Coast, South Dakota
16:UC Irvine, North Dakota, (North Carolina Central/New Orleans), (Mount St. Mary's/Texas Southern)

First Four Out: Illinois, California, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech
Next Four Out: Kansas State, TCU, Clemson, Houston
Also Considered: Indiana, Georgia, Ohio State, Tennessee, Georgetown, Mississippi, Texas Tech, Pittsburgh

Moving In: Rhode Island
Moving Out: California
Removed From Consideration: None

Bids by Conference:
ACC: 10
Big Ten: 7   
Big East: 6
Big 12: 5
SEC: 5
Pac-12: 4
Atlantic 10: 3
American: 2 
Missouri Valley: 2
West Coast: 2

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