College Football Week 12 Betting Preview
Week 0: 1-0, +1 unit
Week 1: 3-4, -1.4 units
Week 2: 3-4, -1.4 units
Week 3: 5-2, +2.8 units
Week 4: 4-2, +1.8 units
Week 5: 6-2, +4.08 units
Week 6: 0-7, -7.41 units
Week 7: 3-4-1, -1.24 units
Week 8: 2-3, -1.23 units
Week 9: 4-1-1, +2.94 units
Week 10: 2-5, -3.18 units
Week 11: 1-4, -3.26 units
2018 Season: 34-38-2, -6.5 units
Note: All picks are 1 unit
Boston College @ Florida State
Even with AJ Dillon and Anthony Brown's status in doubt, BC should still be a significant favorite here. FSU is now the worst FBS team in Florida according to S&P+. I have FIU and USF behind them, but still FSU is at 83 behind Arkansas State and Tulane, among others. Even without Dillon and Brown, I have this line at BC -5.5.
Pick: Boston College PK -106
Utah @ Colorado
Just like the Boston College game, I think this is an overreaction to an injury. With Tyler Huntley, I would have this line at Utah -14, and he is not worth anything near 7 points. There's also a solid quit factor for Colorado with Mike MacIntyre out now. The Utes are playing for their Rose Bowl hopes and they'll come out hot.
Pick: Utah -7 -111
UAB @ Texas A&M
UAB is perhaps the surprise of the year in college football- if they win this game they'll be 10-1, definitely ranked in the AP poll and probably ranked in the CFP poll. Unlike fellow G5 darling Buffalo, I think UAB is actually a pretty good team- they're #53 in my rankings. A&M really can't look past this: I have this line at Texas A&M -8.5.
Pick: UAB +16.5 -106
Middle Tennessee @ Kentucky
Kentucky was never one of the 10 best teams in the nation, but the wheels are coming off a little bit as the Wildcats got rolled by Tennessee last week. MTSU is a solid G5 team and I think people are still riding the Kentucky wave a little too much. I have this at Kentucky -8.
Pick: Middle Tennessee +16 -106
UNLV @ Hawaii
Hawaii has predictably fallen into a bit of a slump in the last few weeks- the Rainbow Warriors were punching a bit above their weight early in the season, and the schedule has toughened up a lot in recent weeks. They'll be sizeable underdogs next week against SDSU so this is their shot at bowl eligibility, and a likely home game in the Hawaii Bowl. UNLV is playing hard, upsetting SDSU last week, and I have this at a pick.
Pick: UNLV +6 -106
Connecticut @ East Carolina
I really did not anticipate I would be picking Connecticut at all this year, but here we are. The Huskies have one of the worst defenses I have ever seen at the FBS level- they allowed 49 points to a URI team that is not going to even sniff the FCS playoffs. However, East Carolina should not be favored by 17 against any FBS team- this is going to end in a shootout but the Huskies can keep it close.
Pick: Connecticut +17 -114
Week 1: 3-4, -1.4 units
Week 2: 3-4, -1.4 units
Week 3: 5-2, +2.8 units
Week 4: 4-2, +1.8 units
Week 5: 6-2, +4.08 units
Week 6: 0-7, -7.41 units
Week 7: 3-4-1, -1.24 units
Week 8: 2-3, -1.23 units
Week 9: 4-1-1, +2.94 units
Week 10: 2-5, -3.18 units
Week 11: 1-4, -3.26 units
2018 Season: 34-38-2, -6.5 units
Note: All picks are 1 unit
Boston College @ Florida State
Even with AJ Dillon and Anthony Brown's status in doubt, BC should still be a significant favorite here. FSU is now the worst FBS team in Florida according to S&P+. I have FIU and USF behind them, but still FSU is at 83 behind Arkansas State and Tulane, among others. Even without Dillon and Brown, I have this line at BC -5.5.
Pick: Boston College PK -106
Utah @ Colorado
Just like the Boston College game, I think this is an overreaction to an injury. With Tyler Huntley, I would have this line at Utah -14, and he is not worth anything near 7 points. There's also a solid quit factor for Colorado with Mike MacIntyre out now. The Utes are playing for their Rose Bowl hopes and they'll come out hot.
Pick: Utah -7 -111
UAB @ Texas A&M
UAB is perhaps the surprise of the year in college football- if they win this game they'll be 10-1, definitely ranked in the AP poll and probably ranked in the CFP poll. Unlike fellow G5 darling Buffalo, I think UAB is actually a pretty good team- they're #53 in my rankings. A&M really can't look past this: I have this line at Texas A&M -8.5.
Pick: UAB +16.5 -106
Middle Tennessee @ Kentucky
Kentucky was never one of the 10 best teams in the nation, but the wheels are coming off a little bit as the Wildcats got rolled by Tennessee last week. MTSU is a solid G5 team and I think people are still riding the Kentucky wave a little too much. I have this at Kentucky -8.
Pick: Middle Tennessee +16 -106
UNLV @ Hawaii
Hawaii has predictably fallen into a bit of a slump in the last few weeks- the Rainbow Warriors were punching a bit above their weight early in the season, and the schedule has toughened up a lot in recent weeks. They'll be sizeable underdogs next week against SDSU so this is their shot at bowl eligibility, and a likely home game in the Hawaii Bowl. UNLV is playing hard, upsetting SDSU last week, and I have this at a pick.
Pick: UNLV +6 -106
Connecticut @ East Carolina
I really did not anticipate I would be picking Connecticut at all this year, but here we are. The Huskies have one of the worst defenses I have ever seen at the FBS level- they allowed 49 points to a URI team that is not going to even sniff the FCS playoffs. However, East Carolina should not be favored by 17 against any FBS team- this is going to end in a shootout but the Huskies can keep it close.
Pick: Connecticut +17 -114
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