Week 13 Bowl Projections

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At the top, my projections stay the same as I have the projected playoff everyone else does. Alabama, Clemson, Notre Dame and Michigan control their own destiny, as does Georgia. There's a bit of a shakeup in the rest of the New Year's Six this week though- I now have Washington State favored  over Washington so I've slotted the Cougars into the Rose Bowl. I also dropped West Virginia out of the NY6, as I project they'll lose to Oklahoma and finish 8-3. This opened up a spot for Florida in the Peach Bowl and Penn State in the Fiesta Bowl- putting 4 SEC teams in the NY6 and sliding every Big Ten and SEC team up a spot.

I currently project 80 bowl eligible teams for 78 spots. The two eligible teams I left out are FAU and ULM. At this point I'd be quite surprised if we didn't end up with 78 bowl eligible teams, and it's certainly possible that we see some more upsets and end up with 82 or 83 eligible teams. I think there will be enough 6-6 G5 teams that all 6-6 P5 teams should get bowl bids, unlike last week where I had Arizona and Wake Forest out.

The Big Ten had a lot of empty tie-ins as they have 3 NY6 teams and only 8 bowl eligible teams. This, along with the SEC having 4 NY6 teams, gave me at-large spots in the Redbox, Independence, Quick Lane, First Responder, Armed Forces, Birmingham and Frisco bowls.

Cotton (Playoff Semifinal): #1 Alabama vs. #4 Michigan
Orange (Playoff Semifinal): #2 Clemson vs. #3 Notre Dame
Peach: UCF vs. Florida
Fiesta: LSU vs. Penn State
Rose: Ohio State vs. Washington State
Sugar: Oklahoma vs. Georgia
Citrus: Northwestern vs. Kentucky
Outback: Michigan State vs. Mississippi State
Sun: Oregon vs. Georgia Tech
TaxSlayer: Wisconsin vs. Missouri
Holiday: Iowa vs. Utah
Liberty: Oklahoma State vs. Auburn
Redbox: Stanford vs. BYU*
Military: Miami (FL) vs. Cincinnati
Arizona: San Diego State vs. Louisiana
Belk: Vanderbilt vs. Pittsburgh
Alamo: Texas vs. Washington
Camping World: West Virginia vs. Syracuse
Music City: South Carolina vs. NC State
Texas: Iowa State vs. Texas A&M
Pinstripe: Purdue vs. Duke
Independence: Boston College vs. Nevada*
Cheez-It: Texas Tech vs. Arizona State
Quick Lane: Virginia vs. Toledo*
First Responder: Marshall vs. Wyoming*
Hawaii: Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech
Dollar General: Northern Illinois vs. Troy
Armed Forces: Memphis vs. Army*
Birmingham: Houston vs. Miami (OH)*
Famous Idaho Potato: Boise State vs. Buffalo
Bahamas: Ohio vs. FIU
Gasparilla: USF vs. UAB
Frisco: Tulane vs. Western Michigan
Boca Raton: Temple vs. North Texas
New Orleans: Southern Miss vs. Appalachian State
Camellia: Eastern Michigan vs. Arkansas State
Las Vegas: Cal vs. Fresno State
Cure: SMU vs. Georgia Southern
New Mexico: Utah State vs. Middle Tennessee

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