Bracketology 3/2/16
1) One team that I've definitely overlooked is Stanford, who I just added to the bubble section below. They possess a resume that's definitely made it into the tournament before, as a team with elite schedule numbers and around 14 losses from the conference that sends the most teams to the tournament. They're my 6th team out of the field now, but I could see them moving up. Should they sweep their Arizona road trip and then make it to the Pac-12 semis, I would feel pretty good about their at-large chances.
2) I'm also increasingly pessimistic about Monmouth's at-large chances. While some bubble teams above them will certainly lose, it's possible that say, Butler and George Washington pick up big wins and pass them. Monmouth would be my last team in right now without the MAAC auto-bid, and I don't think enough bubble teams will lose between now and Selection Sunday to make up for the ~7 spots Monmouth would drop with a loss in the MAAC tournament.
1: Kansas, Villanova, Oklahoma, Virginia
2: Oregon, Xavier, Miami (FL), North Carolina
3: Michigan State, Utah, West Virginia, Maryland
4: Iowa State, Kentucky, Duke, Indiana
5: Texas, California, Purdue, Arizona
6: Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Iowa, Baylor
7: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Wisconsin, Seton Hall
8: Notre Dame, Colorado, Pittsburgh, South Carolina
9: Oregon State, Wichita State, USC, Providence
10: St. Mary's, Syracuse, Arkansas-LR, St. Bonaventure
11: Cincinnati, Michigan, (VCU/Tulsa), (Vanderbilt/Connecticut)
12: Monmouth, Temple, Valparaiso, San Diego State
13: South Dakota State, Yale, Chattanooga, Akron
14: Stony Brook, UNC Wilmington, Hawaii, UAB
15: Belmont, Stephen F. Austin, New Mexico State, Weber State
16: Winthrop, North Florida, (Hampton/Bucknell), (Wagner/Texas Southern)
Moving In: None
Moving Out: None
Removed From Consideration: None
First Four Out: Temple, Butler, Valparaiso, Alabama
Next Four Out: Florida, Stanford, George Washington, Gonzaga
Also Considered: Ohio State, Florida State, UCLA, Washington
2) I'm also increasingly pessimistic about Monmouth's at-large chances. While some bubble teams above them will certainly lose, it's possible that say, Butler and George Washington pick up big wins and pass them. Monmouth would be my last team in right now without the MAAC auto-bid, and I don't think enough bubble teams will lose between now and Selection Sunday to make up for the ~7 spots Monmouth would drop with a loss in the MAAC tournament.
2: Oregon, Xavier, Miami (FL), North Carolina
3: Michigan State, Utah, West Virginia, Maryland
4: Iowa State, Kentucky, Duke, Indiana
5: Texas, California, Purdue, Arizona
6: Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Iowa, Baylor
7: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Wisconsin, Seton Hall
8: Notre Dame, Colorado, Pittsburgh, South Carolina
9: Oregon State, Wichita State, USC, Providence
10: St. Mary's, Syracuse, Arkansas-LR, St. Bonaventure
11: Cincinnati, Michigan, (VCU/Tulsa), (Vanderbilt/Connecticut)
12: Monmouth, Temple, Valparaiso, San Diego State
13: South Dakota State, Yale, Chattanooga, Akron
14: Stony Brook, UNC Wilmington, Hawaii, UAB
15: Belmont, Stephen F. Austin, New Mexico State, Weber State
16: Winthrop, North Florida, (Hampton/Bucknell), (Wagner/Texas Southern)
Moving In: None
Moving Out: None
Removed From Consideration: None
First Four Out: Temple, Butler, Valparaiso, Alabama
Next Four Out: Florida, Stanford, George Washington, Gonzaga
Also Considered: Ohio State, Florida State, UCLA, Washington
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