Bracketology 3/4/16
1) One of the surest signs of march is watching teams on my 13-16 lines fall in their conference tournament, as both North Florida and Bucknell did yesterday. I'm more bummed about North Florida- they have a prolific offense and a horrible defense which would've been a fun combo to see in the tournament. However, due to Stetson's APR issues, they still have a shot. Since Florida Gulf Coast is the highest seed remaining in the A-Sun, I put them in.
2) I had been hyping up Little Rock's at-large chances recently, and was looking forward to the possibility of an at-large from a genuine low-major (a team below the "red line", to give a nod to Mid-Majority). However, last night's loss @ RPI 287 Appalachian State sunk their chances. Since I don't think Monmouth as a real shot at an at-large, Valparaiso is the only low-major who might get an at large. This is problematic on two fronts, the first being I wouldn't really consider the Horizon that obscure and the second being the Crusaders do not have a very good shot at an at-large. Their conference tournament odds are certainly boosted by their bye to the semifinals, though.
1: Kansas, Villanova, Oklahoma, Virginia
2: Miami (FL), Xavier, Oregon, Michigan State
3: Utah, North Carolina, West Virginia, Duke
4: Maryland, Iowa State, Kentucky, Indiana
5: Purdue, Texas A&M, Arizona, Texas
6: California, Baylor, Iowa, Dayton
7: Wisconsin, Colorado, Texas Tech, Seton Hall
8: St. Joseph's, Notre Dame, Oregon State, USC
9: Pittsburgh, Wichita State, St. Bonaventure, Providence
10: St. Mary's, South Carolina, VCU, Butler
11: Syracuse, (Vanderbilt/Tulsa), Valparaiso, Temple
12: (Cincinnati/Michigan), Monmouth, Arkansas-LR, South Dakota State
13: Akron, San Diego State, Yale, Chattanooga
14: Stony Brook, UNC Wilmington, UAB, Hawaii
15: Stephen F. Austin, Belmont, New Mexico State, Weber State
16: Winthrop, Hampton, (Wagner/Lehigh), (Florida Gulf Coast/Texas Southern)
Moving In: Tulsa, Lehigh, Florida Gulf Coast
Moving Out: Connecticut, Bucknell, North Florida
Legitimate Possibilities: Gonzaga, Connecticut, Florida, George Washington, Houston, Stanford
Long Shots: Arkansas-LR, Princeton, Alabama, Washington, Florida State, Ohio State, LSU, UCLA
2) I had been hyping up Little Rock's at-large chances recently, and was looking forward to the possibility of an at-large from a genuine low-major (a team below the "red line", to give a nod to Mid-Majority). However, last night's loss @ RPI 287 Appalachian State sunk their chances. Since I don't think Monmouth as a real shot at an at-large, Valparaiso is the only low-major who might get an at large. This is problematic on two fronts, the first being I wouldn't really consider the Horizon that obscure and the second being the Crusaders do not have a very good shot at an at-large. Their conference tournament odds are certainly boosted by their bye to the semifinals, though.
1: Kansas, Villanova, Oklahoma, Virginia
2: Miami (FL), Xavier, Oregon, Michigan State
3: Utah, North Carolina, West Virginia, Duke
4: Maryland, Iowa State, Kentucky, Indiana
5: Purdue, Texas A&M, Arizona, Texas
6: California, Baylor, Iowa, Dayton
7: Wisconsin, Colorado, Texas Tech, Seton Hall
8: St. Joseph's, Notre Dame, Oregon State, USC
9: Pittsburgh, Wichita State, St. Bonaventure, Providence
10: St. Mary's, South Carolina, VCU, Butler
11: Syracuse, (Vanderbilt/Tulsa), Valparaiso, Temple
12: (Cincinnati/Michigan), Monmouth, Arkansas-LR, South Dakota State
13: Akron, San Diego State, Yale, Chattanooga
14: Stony Brook, UNC Wilmington, UAB, Hawaii
15: Stephen F. Austin, Belmont, New Mexico State, Weber State
16: Winthrop, Hampton, (Wagner/Lehigh), (Florida Gulf Coast/Texas Southern)
Moving In: Tulsa, Lehigh, Florida Gulf Coast
Moving Out: Connecticut, Bucknell, North Florida
Legitimate Possibilities: Gonzaga, Connecticut, Florida, George Washington, Houston, Stanford
Long Shots: Arkansas-LR, Princeton, Alabama, Washington, Florida State, Ohio State, LSU, UCLA
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