Bracketology 3/3/16

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1) A couple teams near the bubble made big movements yesterday- Butler got a big win to propel themselves into the field while Alabama took a bad loss at home against Arkansas. I might be a little premature in eliminating the Crimson Tide, but it appears likely they'll have between the 7 and the 10 seed in the SEC tournament. That would mean they'd be facing a must-win quarterfinal against Texas A&M or Kentucky- not a situation I'd favor them in. Even then, I think they'd need to advance to the SEC final to have a legitimate at-large chance.

2) My model told me to move Connecticut out, but I moved Tulsa out instead. Connecticut's wins @Texas and vs. SMU are quite good, but more importantly they lack sub-100 losses and Tulsa's loss to Oral Roberts is a real blemish. Tulsa is playing good basketball as of late, and I'd say they'll probably finish strong and make the tournament but right now I have them just barely out.

 3) There's some intriguing bubble games tonight, as Temple will be hard-pressed to get an at-large should they lose to Memphis, as will Arkansas-LR should they lose to App. State. Connecticut and Cincinnati both have tough road games and a loss for either may move them out of the bracket. In the late night, Stanford faces a must-win @Arizona State.

 1: Kansas, Villanova, Oklahoma, Virginia 
2: Oregon, Xavier, Miami (FL), North Carolina
3: Michigan State, Utah, West Virginia, Maryland
4: Iowa State, Kentucky, Duke, Indiana
5: Texas, California, Purdue, Arizona
6: Texas A&M, Iowa, Baylor, Dayton
7: Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Colorado, Notre Dame
8: St. Joseph's, USC, Seton Hall, South Carolina
9: Providence, Wichita State, Oregon State, St. Bonaventure
10: Pittsburgh, St. Mary's, Syracuse, Arkansas-LR
11: Cincinnati, (Michigan/Connecticut), VCU, (Butler/Vanderbilt)
12: Monmouth, Temple, Valparaiso, San Diego State
13: South Dakota State, Yale, Chattanooga, Akron
14: Stony Brook, UNC Wilmington, Hawaii, UAB
15: Belmont, Stephen F. Austin, New Mexico State, Weber State
16: Winthrop, North Florida, (Hampton/Bucknell), (Wagner/Texas Southern)

Moving In: Butler
Moving Out: Tulsa
Removed From Consideration: UCLA, Alabama

First Four Out: Tulsa, Monmouth, Temple, Valparaiso
Next Four Out: Florida, Stanford, George Washington, Gonzaga
Also Considered: Ohio State, Florida State, Washington

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