College Football Week 12 Picks

-
Preseason Win Totals: 6-2 +25.84 units
Week 1: 7-1-1 +16.90 units
Week 2: 3-6 -0.31 units
Week 3: 3-4 -1.09 units
Week 4: 4-5 +3.22 units
Week 5: 1-5-1 -10.07 units
Week 6: 3-3 +0.52 units
Week 7: 3-4 -5.28 units
Week 8: 2-1 +0.81 units
Week 9: 2-2 -2.19 units
Week 10: 1-2 -2.06 units
Week 11: 5-0 +8.42 units
Season Total: 40-35-2 +35.71 units

I had my first really good week in a while last week, hitting all 5 of my picks. All 5 of them were underdogs, and 3 of them won straight up including Illinois at +14.5. I'm now solidly up on the week-to-week bets in addition to the preseason win totals.

Wyoming @ Utah State

I haven't bet Wyoming since week 1 against Missouri, but I like the Cowboys once again here. They've been very solid in the past few weeks, and are already bowl eligible. Utah State hasn't been the same team this year, Jordan Love has not blossomed in Gary Andersen's offense the way he did under Matt Wells. I think Wyoming should be a slight favorite.

Wyoming +4.5 -111 (2 units)

Memphis @ Houston

I'm not as high on Memphis as many other predictive metrics are- I have them a bit away from my top 25, lower than Sagarin and S&P+. Combined with the fact that Houston has been on the upswing in the last few weeks, I think that the Cougars are the play here.

Houston +10.5 -106 (1 unit)

TCU @ Texas Tech

I'm higher on Texas Tech than almost every other system out there. The Red Raiders have lost a lot of close games, and the middle of the Big 12 is so strong that good performances haven't always translated into wins. I think they're about even with the Horned Frogs so I like Texas Tech a little here.

Texas Tech +3 -103 (1 unit)

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Bracketology 3/12/20

-
Well, in the unlikely event that there is an NCAA tournament, here's my projection for it. Stanford really hurt themselves with their loss to Cal, their SOR is almost unprecedentedly bad for an at-large team. Xavier made things really interesting with a loss to DePaul, they're my last team in. Also out west, Colorado continued a massive slide with a loss to Washington State. 1:  Kansas , Baylor,  Gonzaga ,  Dayton 2: San Diego State,  Villanova,  Creighton,  Florida State 3:  Michigan State , Maryland, Duke, Seton Hall 4: Louisville,  Kentucky ,  Oregon , Ohio State 5: Wisconsin, Butler, BYU, Auburn 6: West Virginia, Michigan, Iowa, Illinois 7: Penn State, Virginia, St. Mary's,   Houston 8: Oklahoma, Arizona, Rutgers, USC 9: Marquette, Colorado, LSU, Providence 10: Florida, Indiana,  East Tennessee State , Texas Tech 11: Wichita State,  Utah State , Arizona State, (Richmond/Cincinnati) 12: (Texas/Xavier),  Stephen F. Austin,  Yale ,  Liberty 13:  Akron,  Vermo
Read more

Bracketology 3/7/20

-
The biggest game of the day on Friday was Northern Iowa's loss to Drake in the Arch Madness quarterfinals. I have kept the Panthers as the last team in the field for now, but it's going to be a long wait for them until Selection Sunday. Most of their resume comparisons haven't made the tournament, although their NET remains solid. A massive day awaits today, with nearly every bubble team in action. Updates will be daily from now until Selection Sunday. 1:  Kansas , Baylor,  Gonzaga ,  San Diego State 2:  Dayton ,  Florida State, Maryland, Seton Hall 3: Villanova, Creighton, Duke, Michigan State 4: Louisville,  Kentucky ,  Oregon , Ohio State 5: BYU, Butler, Penn State, Iowa 6: Wisconsin, Michigan, Auburn, Colorado 7: West Virginia, Houston, Illinois, Virginia 8: St. Mary's, Arizona, Marquette, Oklahoma 9: Texas Tech, Rutgers, USC, Florida 10: Xavier, LSU,  East Tennessee State , Providence 11: Indiana, Wichita State, Texas, (Arizona State/Richmond) 12: (P
Read more

Bracketology 3/11/20

-
The last quiet bubble day of conference tournament week is done, with six more bids punched. Robert Morris moves into the field for St. Francis PA after their win in the NEC title game. I was supposed to be heading to Madison Square Garden for the Big East tournament tomorrow and likely up to Cambridge for the Ivy League tournament this weekend. I've cancelled my trip to New York, and the Ivy League tournament has been cancelled with Yale given the conference's berth in March Madness with their regular season title. 1:  Kansas , Baylor,  Gonzaga ,  Dayton 2: San Diego State,  Villanova,  Creighton,  Florida State 3:  Michigan State , Maryland, Duke, Seton Hall 4: Louisville,  Kentucky ,  Oregon , Ohio State 5: Wisconsin, Butler, BYU, Auburn 6: West Virginia, Michigan, Iowa, Illinois 7: Penn State, Virginia, St. Mary's,   Houston 8: Colorado, Oklahoma, Arizona, Rutgers 9: USC, Marquette, LSU, Providence 10: Florida,  East Tennessee State , Indiana, Texas Tech 1
Read more